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SC Delhi vs Jamshedpur — Indian Super League 2025

SC Delhi
SC Delhi
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Jamshedpur
Jamshedpur
J. Sunny 21'
N. Stojanovic 89'
3/19/2026Indian Super LeagueIndian Super League · Round 6Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

SC Delhi40%
×Draw29%
Jamshedpur30%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SC Delhi
1.19
Jamshedpur
0.99

SC Delhi creates 20% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 13 away

creates per match

SC Delhi
1.00
Jamshedpur
1.15

allows per match

SC Delhi
0.83
Jamshedpur
1.38

finishing

SC Delhi+0.00on par
Jamshedpur+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SC Delhi ↓

Jamshedpur →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–111%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

SC Delhi or draw
70%
SC Delhi or Jamshedpur
71%
Draw or Jamshedpur
60%

Winning margin

SC Delhi wins by 2+
17%
Jamshedpur wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

SC Delhi 1+ goals
70%
SC Delhi 2+ goals
33%
SC Delhi 3+ goals
12%
Jamshedpur 1+ goals
63%
Jamshedpur 2+ goals
26%
Jamshedpur 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

SC Delhi (draw refunded)
57%
Jamshedpur (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SC Delhi at home — creates 1.00, concedes 0.83 · 6 matches

Jamshedpur away — creates 1.15, concedes 1.38 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SC Delhi attack 1.00 + Jamshedpur defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.19

Jamshedpur attack 1.15 + SC Delhi defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

SC Delhi scores more
40%
level
29%
Jamshedpur scores more
30%

SC Delhi at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "SC Delhi will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

21
N. StojanovicJamshedpurJamshedpur · M
8.0

Match Events

13'
Manoj Mohammed
21'
J. Sunny↳ M. Babovic
43'
Fane Ousmane
53'
Pronay Halder
57'
Rei Tachikawa
57'
L. Chawngthu← P. Halder
64'
I. Vanmalsawma← J. Sunny
64'
J. Rivas← O. Fane
68'
S. Golui← M. Zothanpuia
68'
R. Das← M. Singh
74'
L. Cirkovic← R. Tachikawa
75'
Issac Vanmalsawma
78'
M. Azhar← Ramhlunchhunga
82'
Matija Babović
85'
Nora Fernandes
89'
N. Stojanovic↳ R. Das
90+2'
A. Mehta← L. Hangshing
90+2'
E. Amoh← M. Babovic

Possession

40%SC

Shots

5SC

Pass accuracy

47%SC

Statistics

SCJamshedpur
Overview
40%Possession60%
5Total Shots13
0.45Expected Goals (xG)0.84
3Corners7
14Fouls16
Shots
5Total Shots13
4On Target4
1Off Target7
0Blocked2
3Inside Box5
2Outside Box8
Passing
40%Possession60%
273Total Passes404
187Accurate Passes311
68%Pass Accuracy77%
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
Discipline
14Fouls16
5Yellow Cards2

Indian Super League: SC Delhi 1–1 Jamshedpur

SC Delhi and Jamshedpur drew 1-1 in Indian Super League on March 19, 2026.

Goals: J. Sunny (21'), N. Stojanovic (89').

Jamshedpur controlled possession (60%) and registered 13 shots to 5.

The match was played at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium in New Delhi.