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Saudi Arabia W vs Laos W — Friendlies Women 2026

Saudi Arabia W
Saudi Arabia W
FT
4 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Laos W
Laos W
F. Mansour 69', 45'
A. B. Mobarak 52'
M. Al-Yahya 6'
6/10/2026Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendly International Women

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Saudi Arabia W82%
×Draw13%
Laos W5%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Saudi Arabia W
2.48
Laos W
0.44

Saudi Arabia W creates 464% more chances

Season form · 24 home / 4 away

creates per match

Saudi Arabia W
1.71
Laos W
0.25

allows per match

Saudi Arabia W
0.63
Laos W
3.25

finishing

Saudi Arabia W+0.00on par
Laos W+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%No
  • No67
  • Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Saudi Arabia W ↓

Laos W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–16%
1–21%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–017%
2–17%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–014%
3–16%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–09%
4–14%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (17%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Saudi Arabia W or draw
95%
Saudi Arabia W or Laos W
87%
Draw or Laos W
18%

Winning margin

Saudi Arabia W wins by 2+
59%
Laos W wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

Saudi Arabia W 1+ goals
92%
Saudi Arabia W 2+ goals
70%
Saudi Arabia W 3+ goals
44%
Laos W 1+ goals
36%
Laos W 2+ goals
7%
Laos W 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Saudi Arabia W (draw refunded)
94%
Laos W (draw refunded)
6%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Saudi Arabia W at home — creates 1.71, concedes 0.63 · 24 matches

Laos W away — creates 0.25, concedes 3.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Saudi Arabia W attack 1.71 + Laos W defence 3.25 → ÷2 → 2.48

Laos W attack 0.25 + Saudi Arabia W defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 0.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 82%?"

Saudi Arabia W scores more
82%
level
13%
Laos W scores more
5%

Saudi Arabia W at 82% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 82% does not mean "Saudi Arabia W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
M. Al-Yahya
45'
F. Mansour
52'
A. B. Mobarak
69'
F. Mansour

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Women: Saudi Arabia W 4–0 Laos W

Saudi Arabia W beat Laos W 4-0 in Friendlies Women on June 10, 2026.

Goals: M. Al-Yahya (6'), F. Mansour (45', 69'), A. B. Mobarak (52').