Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Saturn Ramenskoye vs Broke Boys — Cup 2019

Saturn Ramenskoye
Saturn Ramenskoye
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Broke Boys
Broke Boys
9/11/2025CupCup · Regions Path - 3rd RoundLeon Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Saturn Ramenskoye9%
×Draw21%
Broke Boys70%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Saturn Ramenskoye
0.46
Broke Boys
1.79

Broke Boys creates 289% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 3 away

creates per match

Saturn Ramenskoye
0.25
Broke Boys
1.33

allows per match

Saturn Ramenskoye
2.25
Broke Boys
0.67

finishing

Saturn Ramenskoye+0.00on par
Broke Boys+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

69%No
  • No69
  • Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Saturn Ramenskoye ↓

Broke Boys →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–119%
0–217%
0–310%
0–45%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–01%
2–12%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (19%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
66%34%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Saturn Ramenskoye or draw
30%
Saturn Ramenskoye or Broke Boys
79%
Draw or Broke Boys
91%

Winning margin

Saturn Ramenskoye wins by 2+
2%
Broke Boys wins by 2+
42%

Team goals

Saturn Ramenskoye 1+ goals
37%
Saturn Ramenskoye 2+ goals
8%
Saturn Ramenskoye 3+ goals
1%
Broke Boys 1+ goals
83%
Broke Boys 2+ goals
53%
Broke Boys 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Saturn Ramenskoye (draw refunded)
11%
Broke Boys (draw refunded)
89%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Saturn Ramenskoye at home — creates 0.25, concedes 2.25 · 4 matches

Broke Boys away — creates 1.33, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Saturn Ramenskoye attack 0.25 + Broke Boys defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.46

Broke Boys attack 1.33 + Saturn Ramenskoye defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 1.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Saturn Ramenskoye scores more
9%
level
21%
Broke Boys scores more
70%

Broke Boys at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Broke Boys will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Cup: Saturn Ramenskoye 0–2 Broke Boys

Broke Boys beat Saturn Ramenskoye 2-0 in Cup on September 11, 2025.

The match was played at Leon Arena in Ramenskoe.