Sassuolo 0–3 Juventus: Result & Stats | Serie A

Sassuolo

FT

0 – 3

HT: 0 – 1

Juventus

J. David 63'

F. Miretti 62'

T. Muharemovic 16' (OG)

1/6/2026

Serie A · Round 19MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 24+ matches

Sassuolo26%

×Draw26%

Juventus48%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SassuoloExpected goals in this matchJuventus

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.00

1.48

Sassuolo

1.00

Juventus

1.48

Juventus creates 48% more chances

Season form · 24 home / 32 away

1.02

creates per match

1.48

allows per match

0.99

creates per match

Sassuolo

1.02

Juventus

1.48

allows per match

Sassuolo

1.48

Juventus

0.99

+0.23scores more than expected

finishing

-0.07on par

finishing

Sassuolo+0.23scores more

Juventus-0.07on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sassuolo ↓

Juventus →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–112%

0–29%

0–35%

0–42%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–16%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Sassuolo or draw

52%

Sassuolo or Juventus

74%

Draw or Juventus

74%

Winning margin

Sassuolo wins by 2+

9%

Juventus wins by 2+

24%

Team goals

Sassuolo 1+ goals

63%

Sassuolo 2+ goals

26%

Sassuolo 3+ goals

8%

Juventus 1+ goals

77%

Juventus 2+ goals

43%

Juventus 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Sassuolo (draw refunded)

35%

Juventus (draw refunded)

65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sassuolo at home — creates 1.02, concedes 1.48 · 24 matches

Juventus away — creates 1.48, concedes 0.99 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sassuolo attack 1.02 + Juventus defence 0.99 → ÷2 → 1.00

Juventus attack 1.48 + Sassuolo defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Sassuolo scores more

26%

level

26%

Juventus scores more

48%

Juventus at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Juventus will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

16'

T. MuharemovicOwn goal

39'

A. Fadera← K. Thorstvedt

62'

F. Miretti↳ J. David

63'

J. David

75'

L. Openda← J. David

75'

Joao Mario← W. McKennie

76'

L. Lipani← N. Matic

77'

A. Vranckx← E. Iannoni

77'

N. Pierini← A. Lauriente

85'

V. Adzic← K. Yildiz

85'

J. Cabal← A. Cambiaso

90'

C. Odenthal← S. Walukiewicz

90'

E. Zhegrova← F. Miretti

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SassuoloJuventus

Overview

44%Possession56%

6Total Shots17

0.21Expected Goals (xG)2.57

5Corners5

3Fouls12

Shots

6Total Shots17

2On Target10

4Off Target6

0Blocked1

2Inside Box13

4Outside Box4

Passing

44%Possession56%

482Total Passes621

397Accurate Passes554

82%Pass Accuracy89%

Goalkeeping

8Saves2

0.15Goals Prevented0.15

Discipline

3Fouls12

1Offsides0

Serie A: Sassuolo 0–3 Juventus

Juventus beat Sassuolo 3-0 in Serie A on January 6, 2026.

Goals: T. Muharemovic (16' o.g.), F. Miretti (62'), J. David (63').

Juventus controlled possession (56%) and registered 17 shots to 6.

The match was played at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore in Reggio Emilia.

Sassuolo vs Juventus — Serie A 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Serie A: Sassuolo 0–3 Juventus