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Sassuolo U20 vs Torino U20 — Campionato Primavera - 1 2020

Sassuolo U20
Sassuolo U20
Preview
09:00
Torino U20
Torino U20
10/24/2026Campionato Primavera - 1Campionato Primavera - 1 · Round 8
47%
Sassuolo U20
model favours
47%25%29%

Sassuolo U20 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Sassuolo U2047%
×Draw25%
Torino U2029%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sassuolo U20
1.62
Torino U20
1.21

Sassuolo U20 creates 34% more chances

Season form · 39 home / 38 away

creates per match

Sassuolo U20
1.56
Torino U20
1.24

allows per match

Sassuolo U20
1.18
Torino U20
1.68

finishing

Sassuolo U20+0.00on par
Torino U20+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sassuolo U20 ↓

Torino U20 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
54%46%3.5
31%69%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Sassuolo U20 or draw
71%
Sassuolo U20 or Torino U20
75%
Draw or Torino U20
53%

Winning margin

Sassuolo U20 wins by 2+
24%
Torino U20 wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Sassuolo U20 1+ goals
80%
Sassuolo U20 2+ goals
48%
Sassuolo U20 3+ goals
22%
Torino U20 1+ goals
70%
Torino U20 2+ goals
34%
Torino U20 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Sassuolo U20 (draw refunded)
62%
Torino U20 (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sassuolo U20 at home — creates 1.56, concedes 1.18 · 39 matches

Torino U20 away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.68 · 38 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sassuolo U20 attack 1.56 + Torino U20 defence 1.68 → ÷2 → 1.62

Torino U20 attack 1.24 + Sassuolo U20 defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Sassuolo U20 scores more
47%
level
25%
Torino U20 scores more
29%

Sassuolo U20 at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Sassuolo U20 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
U20
LDWLD
U20
DWLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Sassuolo U20 host Torino U20

October 24, 2026: Sassuolo U20 take on Torino U20 in Campionato Primavera - 1. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.