Sarıyer 0–0 Manisa F.K.: Result & Stats | 1. Lig

Sarıyer

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Manisa F.K.

10/25/2025

1. Lig · Round 11Yusuf Ziya Onis

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Sarıyer47%

×Draw26%

Manisa F.K.26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SarıyerExpected goals in this matchManisa F.K.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.47

1.02

Sarıyer

1.47

Manisa F.K.

1.02

Sarıyer creates 44% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 89 away

1.47

creates per match

1.20

0.84

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Sarıyer

1.47

Manisa F.K.

1.20

allows per match

Sarıyer

0.84

Manisa F.K.

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sarıyer+0.00on par

Manisa F.K.+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sarıyer ↓

Manisa F.K. →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Sarıyer or draw

74%

Sarıyer or Manisa F.K.

74%

Draw or Manisa F.K.

53%

Winning margin

Sarıyer wins by 2+

24%

Manisa F.K. wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Sarıyer 1+ goals

77%

Sarıyer 2+ goals

43%

Sarıyer 3+ goals

18%

Manisa F.K. 1+ goals

64%

Manisa F.K. 2+ goals

27%

Manisa F.K. 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Sarıyer (draw refunded)

64%

Manisa F.K. (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sarıyer at home — creates 1.47, concedes 0.84 · 19 matches

Manisa F.K. away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.47 · 89 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sarıyer attack 1.47 + Manisa F.K. defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.47

Manisa F.K. attack 1.20 + Sarıyer defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Sarıyer scores more

47%

level

26%

Manisa F.K. scores more

26%

Sarıyer at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Sarıyer will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

4

C. Herelle

Manisa F.K. · D

7.9

Match Events

42'

Berkay AydoğmuşPenalty cancelled

46'

H. Traore← H. E. Yesilyurt

46'

Y. Benrahou← O. Kahraman

47'

Hamidou Traoré

50'

Malaly Dembélé

65'

A. Urie← K. Babacar

71'

O. Yilmaz← B. Aydogmus

74'

Loïs Diony

77'

Julien Anziani

78'

K. Yurdakul← B. Toure

85'

A. Karapo← B. Suleyman

86'

86'

90+2'

90+11'

90+2'

90+5'

F. Inal←

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SarıyerManisa

Overview

53%Possession47%

14Total Shots14

3Corners5

10Fouls7

Shots

14Total Shots14

2On Target5

9Off Target7

3Blocked2

7Inside Box7

7Outside Box7

Passing

53%Possession47%

450Total Passes395

371Accurate Passes318

82%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

5Saves2

Discipline

10Fouls7

4Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards1

0Offsides2