Scoreo

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Sao 41%Draw 29%30% Palmeiras
1.19Expected xG0.97

Over / Under 2.5

37%

Over

63%

Under

Both Score

43%

Yes

57%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-0

14%

1-1

13%

0-0

12%

xG Profile (9 home / 7 away matches)

Sao Paulo

xG 1.24 · xGA 1.12

+0.65 vs xG

Palmeiras

xG 0.82 · xGA 1.15

+0.89 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Sao Paulo vs PalmeirasSerie A 2026

Serie ASerie A·2026📍Estadio Do MorumBIS
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
FT
23
HT: 20
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
G. Tapia 34'
Luciano 15'
R. Sosa 89'
J. Lopez 74'
Date
Oct 5, 2025, 7:00 PM
Tournament
Serie A · Serie A · Regular Season - 27
Venue
Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Sao Paulo

Over / Under 2.5

47%over 2.5
  • Over 2.52447%
  • Under 2.52753%

Both teams scored

49%BTTS
  • Yes2549%
  • No2651%

Palmeiras

Over / Under 2.5

43%over 2.5
  • Over 2.51843%
  • Under 2.52457%

Both teams scored

55%BTTS
  • Yes2355%
  • No1945%

Player of the match

42
J. LopezPalmeirasPalmeiras · F
8.0

Possession

51%Sao

Shots

12Sao

Pass accuracy

50%Sao

Statistics

SaoPalmeiras
Overview
51%Possession49%
12Total Shots14
1.86Expected Goals (xG)1.22
4Corners7
12Fouls12
Shots
12Total Shots14
5On Target7
6Off Target4
1Blocked3
8Inside Box7
4Outside Box7
Passing
51%Possession49%
305Total Passes282
235Accurate Passes216
77%Pass Accuracy77%
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
0.09Goals Prevented0.09
Discipline
12Fouls12
3Yellow Cards6
1Offsides0

Match Recap: Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras

Palmeiras beat Sao Paulo 3-2 in Serie A on October 5, 2025.

Goals: Luciano (15'), G. Tapia (34'), Vitor Roque (70'), J. Lopez (74'), R. Sosa (89').

Sao Paulo controlled possession (51%) and registered 12 shots to 14.

The match was played at Estadio Do MorumBIS in Sao Paulo.