Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 3+ matches
Palmeiras 65%Draw 21%15% Sao
2Expected xG0.83
Over / Under 2.5
54%
Over
46%
Under
Both Score
49%
Yes
51%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12%
2-0
12%
1-1
10%
xG Profile (3 home / 5 away matches)
Palmeiras
xG 2 · xGA 0.67
+0 vs xG
Sao Paulo
xG 1 · xGA 2
+0 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Mar 1, 2026, 11:30 PM
- Tournament
- League #475 · Semi-finals
- Referee
- D. C. Muniz dos Santos
- Venue
- Arena Barueri, Barueri
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Palmeiras
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51843%
- Under 2.52457%
Both teams scored
- Yes2355%
- No1945%
Sao Paulo
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52447%
- Under 2.52753%
Both teams scored
- Yes2549%
- No2651%
Player of the match
Match Events
Palmeiras4-2-3-16.82
Sao4-3-2-16.57
65'▲J. Arias←▼Allan Elias
75'▲Felipe Anderson←▼Mauricio
87'▲Lucas Evangelista←▼J. Lopez
88'▲R. Sosa←▼Vitor Roque
88'▲A. Giay←▼Khellven
Head to Head
4
Palmeiras
0
Draws
0
Sao
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
PalmeirasSao
Overview
40%Possession60%
11Total Shots11
1.05Expected Goals (xG)1.43
3Corners4
16Fouls15
Shots
11Total Shots11
4On Target1
4Off Target5
3Blocked5
6Inside Box5
5Outside Box6
Passing
40%Possession60%
308Total Passes447
225Accurate Passes377
73%Pass Accuracy84%
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
Discipline
16Fouls15
2Yellow Cards3
0Offsides1
Palmeiras host Sao Paulo on Sunday, 1 March 2026 at 23:30. The match is part of the League #475 2026/2027 season.
VenueArena Barueri
RefereeD. C. Muniz dos Santos
CompetitionLeague #475 —
League #475: Palmeiras 2–1 Sao Paulo
Palmeiras beat Sao Paulo 2-1 in League #475 on March 1, 2026.
Goals: Mauricio (8'), J. Lopez (57'), Jonathan Calleri (69' pen).
Sao Paulo controlled possession (60%) and registered 11 shots to 11.
The match was played at Arena Barueri in Barueri.