Sao Bento 0–0 BOA: Result & Stats | Serie B

Sao Bento

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

BOA

9/21/2018

Serie B · Round 28Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Sao Bento54%

×Draw27%

BOA19%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sao BentoExpected goals in this matchBOA

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.43

0.73

Sao Bento

1.43

BOA

0.73

Sao Bento creates 96% more chances

Season form · 28 home / 14 away

1.43

creates per match

0.43

1.04

allows per match

1.43

creates per match

Sao Bento

1.43

BOA

0.43

allows per match

Sao Bento

1.04

BOA

1.43

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sao Bento+0.00on par

BOA+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sao Bento ↓

BOA →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–18%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–112%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–012%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Sao Bento or draw

81%

Sao Bento or BOA

73%

Draw or BOA

46%

Winning margin

Sao Bento wins by 2+

27%

BOA wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Sao Bento 1+ goals

76%

Sao Bento 2+ goals

42%

Sao Bento 3+ goals

17%

BOA 1+ goals

52%

BOA 2+ goals

17%

BOA 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Sao Bento (draw refunded)

74%

BOA (draw refunded)

26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

27%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sao Bento at home — creates 1.43, concedes 1.04 · 28 matches

BOA away — creates 0.43, concedes 1.43 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sao Bento attack 1.43 + BOA defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.43

BOA attack 0.43 + Sao Bento defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Sao Bento scores more

54%

level

27%

BOA scores more

19%

Sao Bento at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Sao Bento will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

9'

Samuel Santos

9'

Luidy← Joãozinho

14'

Jadson

24'

Rodrigão Prado

46'

Manoel← Jadson

56'

Zézinho

56'

Diogo Oliveira← Pedro Botelho

61'

Gabriel← Daniel Cruz

65'

Philipe Guimaraes

69'

Maycon← PH

75'

81'

89'

89'

89'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SaoBOA

Overview

49%Possession51%

12Total Shots16

4Corners5

19Fouls27

Shots

12Total Shots16

3On Target1

7Off Target12

2Blocked3

3Inside Box10

9Outside Box6

Passing

49%Possession51%

281Total Passes280

189Accurate Passes176

67%Pass Accuracy63%

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

Discipline

19Fouls27

4Yellow Cards5

0Red Cards0

0Offsides1

Match Recap: Sao Bento vs BOA

Sao Bento and BOA drew 0-0 in Serie B on September 21, 2018.

BOA controlled possession (51%) and registered 16 shots to 12.

The match was played at Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro in Sorocaba.

Sao Bento vs BOA — Serie B 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Sao Bento vs BOA