Sanna Khanh Hoa 0–0 Ha Noi: Result & Stats

Sanna Khanh Hoa

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Ha Noi

4/12/2019

V.League 1 · Round 5Sân vận động 19 tháng 8 (Nha Trang Stadium) (Nha Trang)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 35+ matches

Sanna Khanh Hoa26%

×Draw25%

Ha Noi49%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sanna Khanh HoaExpected goals in this matchHa Noi

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.10

1.60

Sanna Khanh Hoa

1.10

Ha Noi

1.60

Ha Noi creates 45% more chances

Season form · 35 home / 89 away

1.03

creates per match

1.61

1.60

allows per match

1.18

creates per match

Sanna Khanh Hoa

1.03

Ha Noi

1.61

allows per match

Sanna Khanh Hoa

1.60

Ha Noi

1.18

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sanna Khanh Hoa+0.00on par

Ha Noi+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sanna Khanh Hoa ↓

Ha Noi →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–111%

0–29%

0–35%

0–42%

1

1–07%

1–112%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–25%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

28%72%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Sanna Khanh Hoa or draw

51%

Sanna Khanh Hoa or Ha Noi

75%

Draw or Ha Noi

74%

Winning margin

Sanna Khanh Hoa wins by 2+

10%

Ha Noi wins by 2+

25%

Team goals

Sanna Khanh Hoa 1+ goals

67%

Sanna Khanh Hoa 2+ goals

30%

Sanna Khanh Hoa 3+ goals

10%

Ha Noi 1+ goals

80%

Ha Noi 2+ goals

47%

Ha Noi 3+ goals

22%

Draw no bet

Sanna Khanh Hoa (draw refunded)

35%

Ha Noi (draw refunded)

65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sanna Khanh Hoa at home — creates 1.03, concedes 1.60 · 35 matches

Ha Noi away — creates 1.61, concedes 1.18 · 89 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sanna Khanh Hoa attack 1.03 + Ha Noi defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.10

Ha Noi attack 1.61 + Sanna Khanh Hoa defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Sanna Khanh Hoa scores more

26%

level

25%

Ha Noi scores more

49%

Ha Noi at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Ha Noi will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff