Sanna Khanh Hoa 2–2 Bóng đá Huế: Result & Stats

Sanna Khanh Hoa

FT

2 – 2

HT: 1 – 0

Bóng đá Huế

10/16/2022

V.League 2 · Round 20Sân vận động 19 tháng 8

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Sanna Khanh Hoa51%

×Draw26%

Bóng đá Huế22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sanna Khanh HoaExpected goals in this matchBóng đá Huế

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.50

0.89

Sanna Khanh Hoa

1.50

Bóng đá Huế

0.89

Sanna Khanh Hoa creates 69% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 51 away

1.41

creates per match

0.96

0.82

allows per match

1.59

creates per match

Sanna Khanh Hoa

1.41

Bóng đá Huế

0.96

allows per match

Sanna Khanh Hoa

0.82

Bóng đá Huế

1.59

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sanna Khanh Hoa+0.00on par

Bóng đá Huế+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sanna Khanh Hoa ↓

Bóng đá Huế →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–112%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Sanna Khanh Hoa or draw

78%

Sanna Khanh Hoa or Bóng đá Huế

74%

Draw or Bóng đá Huế

49%

Winning margin

Sanna Khanh Hoa wins by 2+

26%

Bóng đá Huế wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Sanna Khanh Hoa 1+ goals

78%

Sanna Khanh Hoa 2+ goals

44%

Sanna Khanh Hoa 3+ goals

19%

Bóng đá Huế 1+ goals

59%

Bóng đá Huế 2+ goals

22%

Bóng đá Huế 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Sanna Khanh Hoa (draw refunded)

70%

Bóng đá Huế (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sanna Khanh Hoa at home — creates 1.41, concedes 0.82 · 44 matches

Bóng đá Huế away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.59 · 51 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sanna Khanh Hoa attack 1.41 + Bóng đá Huế defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.50

Bóng đá Huế attack 0.96 + Sanna Khanh Hoa defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Sanna Khanh Hoa scores more

51%

level

26%

Bóng đá Huế scores more

22%

Sanna Khanh Hoa at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Sanna Khanh Hoa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff