Sanluqueño 0–0 Linense: Result & Stats

Sanluqueño

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Linense

2/6/2022

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 22Campo Municipal El Palmar

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Sanluqueño45%

×Draw30%

Linense25%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SanluqueñoExpected goals in this matchLinense

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.21

0.83

Sanluqueño

1.21

Linense

0.83

Sanluqueño creates 46% more chances

Season form · 76 home / 19 away

1.05

creates per match

0.47

1.20

allows per match

1.37

creates per match

Sanluqueño

1.05

Linense

0.47

allows per match

Sanluqueño

1.20

Linense

1.37

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sanluqueño+0.00on par

Linense+0.00on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No60
Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sanluqueño ↓

Linense →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–111%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

15%85%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Sanluqueño or draw

75%

Sanluqueño or Linense

70%

Draw or Linense

55%

Winning margin

Sanluqueño wins by 2+

20%

Linense wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Sanluqueño 1+ goals

70%

Sanluqueño 2+ goals

34%

Sanluqueño 3+ goals

12%

Linense 1+ goals

56%

Linense 2+ goals

20%

Linense 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Sanluqueño (draw refunded)

64%

Linense (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

27%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sanluqueño at home — creates 1.05, concedes 1.20 · 76 matches

Linense away — creates 0.47, concedes 1.37 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sanluqueño attack 1.05 + Linense defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.21

Linense attack 0.47 + Sanluqueño defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Sanluqueño scores more

45%

level

30%

Linense scores more

25%

Sanluqueño at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Sanluqueño will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

40'

V. Mena

40'

M. A. Ramirez Carrasco

46'

Lolo Gonzalez

54'

B. Lopez

59'

A. Koroma← A. Coulibaly

59'

Antoñito← Loren

65'

Dani Güiza← Adrián Armental

70'

Alfonso← Miguelete Ramírez

70'

Toni García← Theo

72'

Iván Martín← Gerard Oliva

72'

Leandro Martínez← Santi Samanes

82'

A. Koroma

83'

Canillas← Javi Navarro

Sanluqueño

Linense

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Pedro Buenaventura

65'▲Dani Güiza←▼Adrián Armental

70'▲Alfonso←▼Miguelete Ramírez

70'▲Toni García←▼Theo

83'▲Canillas←▼Javi Navarro

Sanluqueño substitutes

GüizaAlfonsoGarcíaCanillasChichoVidalAdamouMartínezJuanpaValleNavas

Manager: Romerito

59'▲A. Koroma←▼A. Coulibaly

59'▲Antoñito←▼Loren

72'▲Iván Martín←▼Gerard Oliva

72'▲Leandro Martínez←▼Santi Samanes

Linense substitutes

KoromaAntoñitoMartínMartínezVaróGarcíaRuaneMoranteDorrioKaniaToledanoMasllorens

Match Recap: Sanluqueño vs Linense

Sanluqueño and Linense drew 0-0 in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on February 6, 2022.

The match was played at Campo Municipal El Palmar in Borriol.

Sanluqueño vs Linense — Primera División RFEF - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Sanluqueño vs Linense