Sandviken 5–3 Flekkerøy: Result & Stats

Sandviken

FT

5 – 3

HT: 2 – 1

Flekkerøy

E. Kjorsvik 86', 47'

M. Bruun-Hansen 54'

B. Engen 45'

C. Thorsen 21'

H. Byklum 85' (pen), 65', 35'

4/27/2025

2. Division - Group 1 · Group 1 - 4Stemmemyren Kunstgressbane

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Sandviken48%

×Draw22%

Flekkerøy30%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SandvikenExpected goals in this matchFlekkerøy

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.91

1.48

Sandviken

1.91

Flekkerøy

1.48

Sandviken creates 29% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 51 away

1.79

creates per match

1.12

1.84

allows per match

2.02

creates per match

Sandviken

1.79

Flekkerøy

1.12

allows per match

Sandviken

1.84

Flekkerøy

2.02

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sandviken+0.00on par

Flekkerøy+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes66
No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sandviken ↓

Flekkerøy →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

66%34%3.5

44%56%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Sandviken or draw

70%

Sandviken or Flekkerøy

78%

Draw or Flekkerøy

52%

Winning margin

Sandviken wins by 2+

27%

Flekkerøy wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Sandviken 1+ goals

85%

Sandviken 2+ goals

57%

Sandviken 3+ goals

30%

Flekkerøy 1+ goals

77%

Flekkerøy 2+ goals

43%

Flekkerøy 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Sandviken (draw refunded)

61%

Flekkerøy (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sandviken at home — creates 1.79, concedes 1.84 · 19 matches

Flekkerøy away — creates 1.12, concedes 2.02 · 51 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sandviken attack 1.79 + Flekkerøy defence 2.02 → ÷2 → 1.91

Flekkerøy attack 1.12 + Sandviken defence 1.84 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Sandviken scores more

48%

level

22%

Flekkerøy scores more

30%

Sandviken at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Sandviken will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

21'

35'

45'

47'

54'

55'

S. L. Haaland← D. W. Johnsen

60'

K. Rottingen← T. Traetteberg

63'

C. Wahlstrom← E. Nahiry

63'

A. Fredriksen← A. Kloster

65'

H. Byklum

74'

K. Garmann← B. Engen

85'

H. ByklumPenalty

86'

E. Kjorsvik

88'

S. Gjerdsbakk← C. Thorsen

88'

E. Igelkjon← E. Kjorsvik

88'

N. Antonsen← T. Lotsberg

90'

L. Eftevaag← S. Ringsbu

Sandviken

Flekkerøy

1

Ostraat

2

Ronningen

5

Quranolli

22

▼

Ringsbu

30

Brandal

6

▼

Johnsen

16

Richardse

21

Gamachis

7

▼

Nahiry

11

▼

Kloster

29

⚽3

12

4

5

24

▼

Traettebe

26

⚽

Bruun-Han

6

Kamanzi

21

⚽

▼

Thorsen

27

▼

Lotsberg

2

Flagtvedt

11

⚽

▼

Engen

19

⚽2

▼

Kjorsvik

Manager: A. Stockinger

60'▲K. Rottingen←▼T. Traetteberg

74'▲K. Garmann←▼B. Engen

88'▲S. Gjerdsbakk←▼C. Thorsen

88'▲E. Igelkjon←▼E. Kjorsvik

88'▲N. Antonsen←▼T. Lotsberg

Sandviken substitutes

7Algroy3Gjerdsbakk8Hodne17Garmann18Waraas20Igelkjon22Thoresen23Rottingen88Antonsen

Manager: S. Skeie

55'▲S. L. Haaland←▼D. W. Johnsen

63'▲C. Wahlstrom←▼E. Nahiry

63'▲A. Fredriksen←▼A. Kloster

90'▲L. Eftevaag←▼S. Ringsbu

Flekkerøy substitutes

13Kristiansen8Eftevaag14Wahlstrom17Fredriksen23Haaland

Match Recap: Sandviken vs Flekkerøy

Sandviken beat Flekkerøy 5-3 in 2. Division - Group 1 on April 27, 2025.

Goals: C. Thorsen (21'), H. Byklum (35', 65', 85' pen), B. Engen (45'), E. Kjorsvik (47', 86'), M. Bruun-Hansen (54').

The match was played at Stemmemyren Kunstgressbane in Bergen.

Sandviken vs Flekkerøy — 2. Division - Group 1 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Sandviken vs Flekkerøy