Sandnes ULF 0–0 Lysekloster: Result & Stats

Sandnes ULF

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Lysekloster

5/24/2025

2. Division - Group 1 · Group 1 - 7Øster Hus Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Sandnes ULF68%

×Draw17%

Lysekloster14%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sandnes ULFExpected goals in this matchLysekloster

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.50

1.06

Sandnes ULF

2.50

Lysekloster

1.06

Sandnes ULF creates 136% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 32 away

3.08

creates per match

1.59

0.54

allows per match

1.91

creates per match

Sandnes ULF

3.08

Lysekloster

1.59

allows per match

Sandnes ULF

0.54

Lysekloster

1.91

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sandnes ULF+0.00on par

Lysekloster+0.00on par

Total goals

Over69
Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sandnes ULF ↓

Lysekloster →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–13%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–18%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–18%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–05%

4–15%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

87%13%2.5

69%31%3.5

47%53%4.5

28%72%

Double chance

Sandnes ULF or draw

86%

Sandnes ULF or Lysekloster

83%

Draw or Lysekloster

32%

Winning margin

Sandnes ULF wins by 2+

46%

Lysekloster wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Sandnes ULF 1+ goals

92%

Sandnes ULF 2+ goals

71%

Sandnes ULF 3+ goals

45%

Lysekloster 1+ goals

65%

Lysekloster 2+ goals

29%

Lysekloster 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Sandnes ULF (draw refunded)

83%

Lysekloster (draw refunded)

17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sandnes ULF at home — creates 3.08, concedes 0.54 · 13 matches

Lysekloster away — creates 1.59, concedes 1.91 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sandnes ULF attack 3.08 + Lysekloster defence 1.91 → ÷2 → 2.50

Lysekloster attack 1.59 + Sandnes ULF defence 0.54 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

Sandnes ULF scores more

68%

level

17%

Lysekloster scores more

14%

Sandnes ULF at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "Sandnes ULF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

N. Bertelsen← A. Bruseth

63'

T. Hildal

67'

E. I. Arsvoll← H. Jensen

69'

H. Kleppe← J. Vagen

69'

J. Bolso← J. Kvarven

73'

A. Nyhagen← J. Kvernstuen

73'

J. Aune← O. Sundgot

74'

J. Tromsdal

79'

S. Marthinussen

79'

J. Galta← E. Osenbroch

82'

D. Campher← M. Badsvik

82'

J. Nordvold Lunde← M. Aaserud

90+4'

A. Nyhagen

Sandnes

Lysekloster

1

4

16

20

8

14

▼

Aaserud

21

Hildal

30

▼

Vagen

10

Dang

22

▼

Badsvik

31

▼

1

3

4

18

▼

6

8

5

10

▼

Osenbroch

11

▼

Kvernstue

9

▼

Sundgot

15

▼

Jensen

Manager: A. Cleveland

46'▲N. Bertelsen←▼A. Bruseth

67'▲E. I. Arsvoll←▼H. Jensen

73'▲A. Nyhagen←▼J. Kvernstuen

73'▲J. Aune←▼O. Sundgot

79'▲J. Galta←▼E. Osenbroch

Sandnes ULF substitutes

13Sola7Galta14Brandeggen17Nyhagen20Aune24Lunde27Salvesen28Bertelsen31Arsvoll

Manager: R. Hetlevik

69'▲H. Kleppe←▼J. Vagen

69'▲J. Bolso←▼J. Kvarven

82'▲D. Campher←▼M. Badsvik

82'▲J. Nordvold Lunde←▼M. Aaserud

Lysekloster substitutes

25Lie3Kleppe9Campher11Bangoura18Lunde23Fagerlie24Vik32Bolso

Match Recap: Sandnes ULF vs Lysekloster

Sandnes ULF and Lysekloster drew 0-0 in 2. Division - Group 1 on May 24, 2025.

The match was played at Øster Hus Arena in Sandnes.

Sandnes ULF vs Lysekloster — 2. Division - Group 1 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Sandnes ULF vs Lysekloster