San Marino 0–0 Andorra: Result & Stats | Friendlies

San Marino

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Andorra

3/31/2026

Friendlies · Friendly InternationalSan Marino Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

San Marino45%

×Draw29%

Andorra27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

San MarinoExpected goals in this matchAndorra

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.27

0.91

San Marino

1.27

Andorra

0.91

San Marino creates 40% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 13 away

0.45

creates per match

0.08

1.73

allows per match

2.08

creates per match

San Marino

0.45

Andorra

0.08

allows per match

San Marino

1.73

Andorra

2.08

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

San Marino+0.00on par

Andorra+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

San Marino ↓

Andorra →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–110%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

18%82%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

San Marino or draw

73%

San Marino or Andorra

71%

Draw or Andorra

55%

Winning margin

San Marino wins by 2+

20%

Andorra wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

San Marino 1+ goals

72%

San Marino 2+ goals

36%

San Marino 3+ goals

14%

Andorra 1+ goals

60%

Andorra 2+ goals

23%

Andorra 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

San Marino (draw refunded)

63%

Andorra (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

San Marino at home — creates 0.45, concedes 1.73 · 11 matches

Andorra away — creates 0.08, concedes 2.08 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

San Marino attack 0.45 + Andorra defence 2.08 → ÷2 → 1.27

Andorra attack 0.08 + San Marino defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

San Marino scores more

45%

level

29%

Andorra scores more

27%

San Marino at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "San Marino will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

29'

34'

35'

39'

58'

Dacu← M. Garcia

58'

Cucu← A. Martinez

58'

H. Ferreira Silva← E. Izquierdo

63'

F. Fabbri← G. Benvenuti

63'

M. Valli Casadei← A. Golinucci

63'

G. Capicchioni← N. Giacopetti

74'

F. Salicioni← F. Berardi

75'

S. Giocondi← M. Cevoli

79'

Jordi Alaez← G. Lopez

79'

J. Teixeira← P. Babot

88'

E. Colombo

88'

B. Rosas

89'

M. Pujol← O. Remolins

90+2'

M. Sancisi← M. Pasolini

Possession

Statistics

SanAndorra

Overview

50%Possession50%

5Corners8

13Fouls19

Shots

3On Target3

8Off Target7

3Blocked2

Passing

50%Possession50%

Discipline

13Fouls19

3Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards0

2Offsides0