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San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo — Primera División 2026

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo
7/26/2024Primera DivisiónPrimera División · Clausura - 7Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

San Antonio Bulo Bulo54%
×Draw22%
Real Tomayapo24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.94
Real Tomayapo
1.24

San Antonio Bulo Bulo creates 56% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 89 away

creates per match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.95
Real Tomayapo
0.88

allows per match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.59
Real Tomayapo
1.94

finishing

San Antonio Bulo Bulo+0.00on par
Real Tomayapo+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

San Antonio Bulo Bulo ↓

Real Tomayapo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

San Antonio Bulo Bulo or draw
76%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo or Real Tomayapo
78%
Draw or Real Tomayapo
46%

Winning margin

San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins by 2+
31%
Real Tomayapo wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1+ goals
86%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2+ goals
58%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3+ goals
30%
Real Tomayapo 1+ goals
71%
Real Tomayapo 2+ goals
35%
Real Tomayapo 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

San Antonio Bulo Bulo (draw refunded)
69%
Real Tomayapo (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home — creates 1.95, concedes 1.59 · 44 matches

Real Tomayapo away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.94 · 89 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo attack 1.95 + Real Tomayapo defence 1.94 → ÷2 → 1.94

Real Tomayapo attack 0.88 + San Antonio Bulo Bulo defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.24

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

San Antonio Bulo Bulo scores more
54%
level
22%
Real Tomayapo scores more
24%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "San Antonio Bulo Bulo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo

San Antonio Bulo Bulo and Real Tomayapo drew 1-1 in Primera División on July 26, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas in Entre Ríos.