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San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Primera División 2026

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
FT
3 – 3
HT: 1 – 0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Daniel Passira 90+2'
L. Jaldín 89'
G. Mendoza 45+5'
R. Ferrufino 79'
B. Sobrero 64'
G. Olguín 53' (OG)
10/22/2024Primera DivisiónPrimera División · Clausura - 19Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 40+ matches

San Antonio Bulo Bulo51%
×Draw22%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.93
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.35

San Antonio Bulo Bulo creates 43% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 40 away

creates per match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.96
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.13

allows per match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.58
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.90

finishing

San Antonio Bulo Bulo+0.00on par
Gualberto Villarroel SJ+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

San Antonio Bulo Bulo ↓

Gualberto Villarroel SJ →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

San Antonio Bulo Bulo or draw
73%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo or Gualberto Villarroel SJ
78%
Draw or Gualberto Villarroel SJ
49%

Winning margin

San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins by 2+
29%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1+ goals
85%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2+ goals
57%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3+ goals
30%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1+ goals
74%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2+ goals
39%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

San Antonio Bulo Bulo (draw refunded)
65%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home — creates 1.96, concedes 1.58 · 45 matches

Gualberto Villarroel SJ away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.90 · 40 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo attack 1.96 + Gualberto Villarroel SJ defence 1.90 → ÷2 → 1.93

Gualberto Villarroel SJ attack 1.13 + San Antonio Bulo Bulo defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

San Antonio Bulo Bulo scores more
51%
level
22%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ scores more
27%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "San Antonio Bulo Bulo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

99
Daniel PassiraSan Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo · F
8.2

Match Events

-5'
Augusto Seimandi
30'
Victor Melgar
36'
Gastón ComasPenalty cancelled
45+4'
Huberth Sánchez
45+1'
Gustavo OlguínPenalty confirmed
45+5'
G. Mendoza↳ G. Olguín
46'
G. Vaca← J. Ramallo
46'
P. Loza← J. Comas
46'
R. Ferrufino← L. Alí
53'
G. OlguínOwn goal
59'
Arthur← S. Viveros
59'
M. Castellón← A. Fernández
64'
B. Sobrero↳ H. Rodríguez
66'
E. Rivera← I. Huayhuata
73'
G. Morales← K. García
75'
L. Jaldín← Neto Acará
75'
J. Vargas← J. Alaca
79'
R. Ferrufino↳ B. Sobrero
84'
Edwin Rivera
86'
Daniel PassiraPenalty confirmed
89'
L. Jaldín
90+1'
E. Velasquez← B. Sobrero
90+2'
Daniel Passira↳ Arthur

Possession

52%San

Shots

22San

Pass accuracy

51%San

Statistics

SanGualberto
Overview
52%Possession48%
22Total Shots7
5Corners0
12Fouls15
Shots
22Total Shots7
7On Target4
10Off Target0
5Blocked3
15Inside Box3
7Outside Box4
Passing
52%Possession48%
298Total Passes276
224Accurate Passes197
75%Pass Accuracy71%
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
Discipline
12Fouls15
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
1Offsides2

Match Recap: San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ

San Antonio Bulo Bulo and Gualberto Villarroel SJ drew 3-3 in Primera División on October 22, 2024.

Goals: G. Mendoza (45+5'), G. Olguín (53' o.g.), B. Sobrero (64'), R. Ferrufino (79'), L. Jaldín (89'), Daniel Passira (90+2').

San Antonio Bulo Bulo controlled possession (52%) and registered 22 shots to 7.

The match was played at Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas in Santa Cruz de la Sierra.