Samartex 2–0 Bibiani Gold Stars: Result & Stats

Samartex

FT

2 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Bibiani Gold Stars

12/7/2025

Premier League · Round 13Samartex Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Samartex58%

×Draw27%

Bibiani Gold Stars15%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SamartexExpected goals in this matchBibiani Gold Stars

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.45

0.58

Samartex

1.45

Bibiani Gold Stars

0.58

Samartex creates 150% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 84 away

1.40

creates per match

0.70

0.46

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

Samartex

1.40

Bibiani Gold Stars

0.70

allows per match

Samartex

0.46

Bibiani Gold Stars

1.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Samartex+0.00on par

Bibiani Gold Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No66
Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Samartex ↓

Bibiani Gold Stars →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–18%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–019%

1–111%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–014%

2–18%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

15%85%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Samartex or draw

85%

Samartex or Bibiani Gold Stars

73%

Draw or Bibiani Gold Stars

42%

Winning margin

Samartex wins by 2+

30%

Bibiani Gold Stars wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Samartex 1+ goals

77%

Samartex 2+ goals

42%

Samartex 3+ goals

18%

Bibiani Gold Stars 1+ goals

44%

Bibiani Gold Stars 2+ goals

12%

Bibiani Gold Stars 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Samartex (draw refunded)

80%

Bibiani Gold Stars (draw refunded)

20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

23%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Samartex at home — creates 1.40, concedes 0.46 · 68 matches

Bibiani Gold Stars away — creates 0.70, concedes 1.50 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Samartex attack 1.40 + Bibiani Gold Stars defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.45

Bibiani Gold Stars attack 0.70 + Samartex defence 0.46 → ÷2 → 0.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Samartex scores more

58%

level

27%

Bibiani Gold Stars scores more

15%

Samartex at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Samartex will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Samartex 2–0 Bibiani Gold Stars

Samartex beat Bibiani Gold Stars 2-0 in Premier League on December 7, 2025.

The match was played at Samartex Park in Tarkwa.

Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars — Premier League 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Premier League: Samartex 2–0 Bibiani Gold Stars