Sabadell II 0–0 Prat: Result & Stats

Sabadell II

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Prat

10/26/2024

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 8Camp Municipal de Futbol del Poliesportiu Olímpia

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Sabadell II32%

×Draw29%

Prat40%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sabadell IIExpected goals in this matchPrat

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.05

1.21

Sabadell II

1.05

Prat

1.21

Prat creates 15% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 34 away

0.82

creates per match

1.00

1.41

allows per match

1.29

creates per match

Sabadell II

0.82

Prat

1.00

allows per match

Sabadell II

1.41

Prat

1.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sabadell II+0.00on par

Prat+0.00on par

Total goals

Under61
Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sabadell II ↓

Prat →

0–010%

0–113%

0–28%

0–33%

0–41%

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2–06%

2–17%

2–24%

2–32%

2–41%

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

66%34%2.5

39%61%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Sabadell II or draw

60%

Sabadell II or Prat

71%

Draw or Prat

68%

Winning margin

Sabadell II wins by 2+

12%

Prat wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Sabadell II 1+ goals

65%

Sabadell II 2+ goals

28%

Sabadell II 3+ goals

Prat 1+ goals

70%

Prat 2+ goals

34%

Prat 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Sabadell II (draw refunded)

44%

Prat (draw refunded)

56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Sabadell II at home — creates 0.82, concedes 1.41 · 17 matches

Prat away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.29 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Sabadell II attack 0.82 + Prat defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.05

Prat attack 1.00 + Sabadell II defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 40%?"

Sabadell II scores more

32%

level

29%

Prat scores more

40%

Prat at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Prat will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

62'

Ernest Girbau← Albert Morral

62'

Joaquim Utgés← Alberto Salamanca

62'

A. Camara← Junior

64'

David Adan← Pol Moles

64'

A. Kerobyan← Joel Bona

73'

Josep Roma← M. Es Sahel

77'

Lamelas← Julen Álvarez

Sabadell

Prat

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Conrad García

62'▲Ernest Girbau←▼Albert Morral

62'▲Joaquim Utgés←▼Alberto Salamanca

62'▲A. Camara←▼Junior

73'▲Josep Roma←▼M. Es Sahel

Sabadell II substitutes

GirbauUtgésCamaraRoma

Manager: Miguel Ángel Motoso

64'▲David Adan←▼Pol Moles

64'▲A. Kerobyan←▼Joel Bona

77'▲Lamelas←▼Julen Álvarez

Prat substitutes

AdanKerobyanLamelas

Match Recap: Sabadell II vs Prat

Sabadell II and Prat drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 on October 26, 2024.

The match was played at Camp Municipal de Futbol del Poliesportiu Olímpia in Sabadell.

Sabadell II vs Prat — Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Sabadell II vs Prat