Saarbrücken U19 0–3 FSV Frankfurt U19

Saarbrücken U19

FT

0 – 3

HT: 0 – 1

FSV Frankfurt U19

N. Zaatan 76', 68' (pen)

A. Husovic 18'

4/26/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 11Sportplatz Quierschied

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 31+ matches

Saarbrücken U1935%

×Draw22%

FSV Frankfurt U1942%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Saarbrücken U19Expected goals in this matchFSV Frankfurt U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.66

1.84

Saarbrücken U19

1.66

FSV Frankfurt U19

1.84

FSV Frankfurt U19 creates 11% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 31 away

1.21

creates per match

1.23

2.45

allows per match

2.10

creates per match

Saarbrücken U19

1.21

FSV Frankfurt U19

1.23

allows per match

Saarbrücken U19

2.45

FSV Frankfurt U19

2.10

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Saarbrücken U19+0.00on par

FSV Frankfurt U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over68
Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes68
No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Saarbrücken U19 ↓

FSV Frankfurt U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–16%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–19%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

68%32%3.5

46%54%4.5

27%73%

Double chance

Saarbrücken U19 or draw

58%

Saarbrücken U19 or FSV Frankfurt U19

78%

Draw or FSV Frankfurt U19

65%

Winning margin

Saarbrücken U19 wins by 2+

17%

FSV Frankfurt U19 wins by 2+

23%

Team goals

Saarbrücken U19 1+ goals

81%

Saarbrücken U19 2+ goals

49%

Saarbrücken U19 3+ goals

23%

FSV Frankfurt U19 1+ goals

84%

FSV Frankfurt U19 2+ goals

55%

FSV Frankfurt U19 3+ goals

28%

Draw no bet

Saarbrücken U19 (draw refunded)

45%

FSV Frankfurt U19 (draw refunded)

55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

59%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Saarbrücken U19 at home — creates 1.21, concedes 2.45 · 38 matches

FSV Frankfurt U19 away — creates 1.23, concedes 2.10 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Saarbrücken U19 attack 1.21 + FSV Frankfurt U19 defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 1.66

FSV Frankfurt U19 attack 1.23 + Saarbrücken U19 defence 2.45 → ÷2 → 1.84

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Saarbrücken U19 scores more

35%

level

22%

FSV Frankfurt U19 scores more

42%

FSV Frankfurt U19 at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "FSV Frankfurt U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

18'

A. Husovic

63'

T. Wanner← C. Dramali

68'

A. Dos Santos Reis← B. Erdogan

68'

N. ZaatanPenalty

72'

M. Birinci← J. Romdhane

76'

N. Zaatan

79'

S. Kusumovic← L. Kraft

79'

F. Classen← D. Meene

83'

J. Chanot← E. Erdogan

83'

M. Seitzer← F. Rupp

84'

S. Bohn← L. Strewenski

Saarbrücken

FSV

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽2

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: S. D`Andrea

68'▲A. Dos Santos Reis←▼B. Erdogan

83'▲J. Chanot←▼E. Erdogan

83'▲M. Seitzer←▼F. Rupp

84'▲S. Bohn←▼L. Strewenski

Saarbrücken U19 substitutes

ReisChanotSeitzerBohnMeesAlfashtaki

Manager: B. Yelken

63'▲T. Wanner←▼C. Dramali

72'▲M. Birinci←▼J. Romdhane

79'▲S. Kusumovic←▼L. Kraft

79'▲F. Classen←▼D. Meene

FSV Frankfurt U19 substitutes

WannerBirinciKusumovicClassenHoti

Match Recap: Saarbrücken U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19

FSV Frankfurt U19 beat Saarbrücken U19 3-0 in U19 Bundesliga on April 26, 2025.

Goals: A. Husovic (18'), N. Zaatan (68' pen, 76').

The match was played at Sportplatz Quierschied in Quierschied.

Saarbrücken U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Saarbrücken U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19