Scoreo

Ružomberok W vs Slovan Bratislava WI Liga - Women 2020

3/1/2025I Liga - WomenI Liga - Women · Round 16Umelá Tráva Ružomberok

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 65+ matches

Ružomberok W28%
×Draw19%
Slovan Bratislava W53%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ružomberok W
1.79
Slovan Bratislava W
2.50

Slovan Bratislava W creates 40% more chances

Season form · 65 home / 67 away

creates per match

Ružomberok W
2.48
Slovan Bratislava W
3.58

allows per match

Ružomberok W
1.43
Slovan Bratislava W
1.09

finishing

Ružomberok W+0.00on par
Slovan Bratislava W+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ružomberok W

Slovan Bratislava W
0
1
2
3
4
0
001%
013%
024%
034%
042%
1
102%
116%
128%
136%
144%
2
202%
216%
227%
236%
244%
3
301%
313%
324%
333%
342%
4
401%
411%
422%
432%
441%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
61%39%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Ružomberok W or draw
47%
Ružomberok W or Slovan Bratislava W
81%
Draw or Slovan Bratislava W
72%

Winning margin

Ružomberok W wins by 2+
14%
Slovan Bratislava W wins by 2+
33%

Team goals

Ružomberok W 1+ goals
83%
Ružomberok W 2+ goals
53%
Ružomberok W 3+ goals
26%
Slovan Bratislava W 1+ goals
92%
Slovan Bratislava W 2+ goals
71%
Slovan Bratislava W 3+ goals
45%

Draw no bet

Ružomberok W (draw refunded)
34%
Slovan Bratislava W (draw refunded)
66%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
70%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ružomberok W at homecreates 2.48, concedes 1.43 · 65 matches

Slovan Bratislava W awaycreates 3.58, concedes 1.09 · 67 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ružomberok W attack 2.48 + Slovan Bratislava W defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.79

Slovan Bratislava W attack 3.58 + Ružomberok W defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 2.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Ružomberok W scores more
28%
level
19%
Slovan Bratislava W scores more
53%

Slovan Bratislava W at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Slovan Bratislava W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Ružomberok W vs Slovan Bratislava W

Ružomberok W beat Slovan Bratislava W 3-0 in I Liga - Women on March 1, 2025.

The match was played at Umelá Tráva Ružomberok in Ružomberok.