Scoreo

RSC Anderlecht II vs Lokeren-TemseLeague #145 2026

RSC Anderlecht II
RSC Anderlecht II
FT
12
HT: 01
Lokeren-Temse
Lokeren-Temse
D. Antwi 89' (OG)
D. Camara 44'
10/26/2025League #145League #145 · Round 11Lotto Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

RSC Anderlecht II31%
×Draw27%
Lokeren-Temse43%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Lokeren-Temse
1.38

Lokeren-Temse creates 22% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 6 away

creates per match

RSC Anderlecht II
0.75
Lokeren-Temse
1.00

allows per match

RSC Anderlecht II
1.75
Lokeren-Temse
1.50

finishing

RSC Anderlecht II+0.00on par
Lokeren-Temse+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

RSC Anderlecht II

Lokeren-Temse
0
1
2
3
4
0
008%
0111%
028%
034%
041%
1
109%
1113%
129%
134%
141%
2
205%
217%
225%
232%
241%
3
302%
313%
322%
331%
340%
4
401%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

RSC Anderlecht II or draw
57%
RSC Anderlecht II or Lokeren-Temse
73%
Draw or Lokeren-Temse
69%

Winning margin

RSC Anderlecht II wins by 2+
12%
Lokeren-Temse wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

RSC Anderlecht II 1+ goals
68%
RSC Anderlecht II 2+ goals
31%
RSC Anderlecht II 3+ goals
11%
Lokeren-Temse 1+ goals
75%
Lokeren-Temse 2+ goals
40%
Lokeren-Temse 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

RSC Anderlecht II (draw refunded)
42%
Lokeren-Temse (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

RSC Anderlecht II at homecreates 0.75, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

Lokeren-Temse awaycreates 1.00, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

RSC Anderlecht II attack 0.75 + Lokeren-Temse defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.13

Lokeren-Temse attack 1.00 + RSC Anderlecht II defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

RSC Anderlecht II scores more
31%
level
27%
Lokeren-Temse scores more
43%

Lokeren-Temse at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Lokeren-Temse will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

16
J. PalaciosLokeren-TemseLokeren-Temse · M
8.3

Possession

47%RSC

Shots

12RSC

Pass accuracy

50%RSC

Statistics

RSCLokeren-Temse
Overview
47%Possession53%
12Total Shots12
1Corners8
13Fouls17
Shots
12Total Shots12
5On Target4
2Off Target4
5Blocked4
6Inside Box10
6Outside Box2
Passing
47%Possession53%
361Total Passes401
302Accurate Passes331
84%Pass Accuracy83%
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
Discipline
13Fouls17
1Yellow Cards3
2Offsides2

League #145: RSC Anderlecht II 1–2 Lokeren-Temse

Lokeren-Temse beat RSC Anderlecht II 2-1 in League #145 on October 26, 2025.

Goals: D. Camara (44'), D. Antwi (89' o.g.), N. Bohamdi-Kamoni (90').

Lokeren-Temse controlled possession (53%) and registered 12 shots to 12.

The match was played at Lotto Park in Anderlecht.