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Royal Leopards vs Green Mamba — Premier League 2020

Royal Leopards
Royal Leopards
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Green Mamba
Green Mamba
4/28/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 26

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 84+ matches

Royal Leopards42%
×Draw27%
Green Mamba32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Royal Leopards
1.36
Green Mamba
1.15

Royal Leopards creates 18% more chances

Season form · 84 home / 84 away

creates per match

Royal Leopards
1.86
Green Mamba
1.49

allows per match

Royal Leopards
0.81
Green Mamba
0.86

finishing

Royal Leopards+0.00on par
Green Mamba+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Royal Leopards ↓

Green Mamba →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Royal Leopards or draw
68%
Royal Leopards or Green Mamba
73%
Draw or Green Mamba
58%

Winning margin

Royal Leopards wins by 2+
19%
Green Mamba wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Royal Leopards 1+ goals
74%
Royal Leopards 2+ goals
39%
Royal Leopards 3+ goals
16%
Green Mamba 1+ goals
68%
Green Mamba 2+ goals
32%
Green Mamba 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Royal Leopards (draw refunded)
57%
Green Mamba (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Royal Leopards at home — creates 1.86, concedes 0.81 · 84 matches

Green Mamba away — creates 1.49, concedes 0.86 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Royal Leopards attack 1.86 + Green Mamba defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 1.36

Green Mamba attack 1.49 + Royal Leopards defence 0.81 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Royal Leopards scores more
42%
level
27%
Green Mamba scores more
32%

Royal Leopards at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Royal Leopards will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Royal Leopards vs Green Mamba

Royal Leopards and Green Mamba drew 0-0 in Premier League on April 28, 2026.