Rotlet Molinar 2–2 Mallorca II: Result & Stats

Rotlet Molinar

2 – 2

HT: 0 – 2

Mallorca II

3/28/2026

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Group 11 - 28Camp De Futbol Municipal

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 37+ matches

Rotlet Molinar20%

×Draw24%

Mallorca II57%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rotlet MolinarExpected goals in this matchMallorca II

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.92

1.75

Rotlet Molinar

0.92

Mallorca II

1.75

Mallorca II creates 90% more chances

Season form · 37 home / 80 away

1.11

creates per match

1.96

1.54

allows per match

0.72

creates per match

Rotlet Molinar

1.11

Mallorca II

1.96

allows per match

Rotlet Molinar

1.54

Mallorca II

0.72

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Rotlet Molinar+0.00on par

Mallorca II+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rotlet Molinar ↓

Mallorca II →

0–07%

0–112%

0–211%

0–36%

0–43%

1–06%

1–111%

1–210%

1–36%

1–42%

2–03%

2–15%

2–24%

2–33%

2–41%

3–01%

3–12%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Rotlet Molinar or draw

43%

Rotlet Molinar or Mallorca II

76%

Draw or Mallorca II

80%

Winning margin

Rotlet Molinar wins by 2+

Mallorca II wins by 2+

32%

Team goals

Rotlet Molinar 1+ goals

60%

Rotlet Molinar 2+ goals

23%

Rotlet Molinar 3+ goals

Mallorca II 1+ goals

83%

Mallorca II 2+ goals

52%

Mallorca II 3+ goals

25%

Draw no bet

Rotlet Molinar (draw refunded)

26%

Mallorca II (draw refunded)

74%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Rotlet Molinar at home — creates 1.11, concedes 1.54 · 37 matches

Mallorca II away — creates 1.96, concedes 0.72 · 80 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Rotlet Molinar attack 1.11 + Mallorca II defence 0.72 → ÷2 → 0.92

Mallorca II attack 1.96 + Rotlet Molinar defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 57%?"

Rotlet Molinar scores more

20%

level

24%

Mallorca II scores more

57%

Mallorca II at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Mallorca II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Rotlet Molinar vs Mallorca II

Rotlet Molinar and Mallorca II drew 2-2 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 on March 28, 2026.

The match was played at Camp De Futbol Municipal in Palma de Mallorca.

Rotlet Molinar vs Mallorca II — Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Rotlet Molinar vs Mallorca II