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Rot-Weiss Essen U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Rot-Weiss Essen U19
Rot-Weiss Essen U19
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
FSV Frankfurt U19
FSV Frankfurt U19
11/22/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 12Bezirkssportanlage Mitte II Rasenplatz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 31+ matches

Rot-Weiss Essen U1952%
×Draw22%
FSV Frankfurt U1927%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rot-Weiss Essen U19
2.03
FSV Frankfurt U19
1.41

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 creates 44% more chances

Season form · 55 home / 31 away

creates per match

Rot-Weiss Essen U19
1.96
FSV Frankfurt U19
1.23

allows per match

Rot-Weiss Essen U19
1.58
FSV Frankfurt U19
2.10

finishing

Rot-Weiss Essen U19+0.00on par
FSV Frankfurt U19+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 ↓

FSV Frankfurt U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 or draw
73%
Rot-Weiss Essen U19 or FSV Frankfurt U19
78%
Draw or FSV Frankfurt U19
48%

Winning margin

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 wins by 2+
30%
FSV Frankfurt U19 wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 1+ goals
87%
Rot-Weiss Essen U19 2+ goals
60%
Rot-Weiss Essen U19 3+ goals
33%
FSV Frankfurt U19 1+ goals
76%
FSV Frankfurt U19 2+ goals
41%
FSV Frankfurt U19 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 (draw refunded)
66%
FSV Frankfurt U19 (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 at home — creates 1.96, concedes 1.58 · 55 matches

FSV Frankfurt U19 away — creates 1.23, concedes 2.10 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 attack 1.96 + FSV Frankfurt U19 defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 2.03

FSV Frankfurt U19 attack 1.23 + Rot-Weiss Essen U19 defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 scores more
52%
level
22%
FSV Frankfurt U19 scores more
27%

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Rot-Weiss Essen U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Rot-Weiss
FSV
S. Hohenberg
Manager: S. Hohenberg
B. Yelken
Manager: B. Yelken

U19 Bundesliga: Rot-Weiss Essen U19 0–0 FSV Frankfurt U19

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 and FSV Frankfurt U19 drew 0-0 in U19 Bundesliga on November 22, 2025.

The match was played at Bezirkssportanlage Mitte II Rasenplatz in Essen.