Rot-Weiß Rankweil 0–3 Wolfurt: Result & Stats

Rot-Weiß Rankweil

FT

0 – 3

HT: 0 – 1

Wolfurt

4/13/2025

Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga · Vorarlberg - 17Gastrastadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Rot-Weiß Rankweil30%

×Draw22%

Wolfurt48%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rot-Weiß RankweilExpected goals in this matchWolfurt

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.46

1.91

Rot-Weiß Rankweil

1.46

Wolfurt

1.91

Wolfurt creates 31% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 26 away

1.00

creates per match

1.81

2.00

allows per match

1.92

creates per match

Rot-Weiß Rankweil

1.00

Wolfurt

1.81

allows per match

Rot-Weiß Rankweil

2.00

Wolfurt

1.92

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Rot-Weiß Rankweil+0.00on par

Wolfurt+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rot-Weiß Rankweil ↓

Wolfurt →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–17%

0–26%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–05%

1–110%

1–29%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

43%57%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Rot-Weiß Rankweil or draw

52%

Rot-Weiß Rankweil or Wolfurt

78%

Draw or Wolfurt

70%

Winning margin

Rot-Weiß Rankweil wins by 2+

13%

Wolfurt wins by 2+

27%

Team goals

Rot-Weiß Rankweil 1+ goals

77%

Rot-Weiß Rankweil 2+ goals

43%

Rot-Weiß Rankweil 3+ goals

18%

Wolfurt 1+ goals

85%

Wolfurt 2+ goals

57%

Wolfurt 3+ goals

30%

Draw no bet

Rot-Weiß Rankweil (draw refunded)

38%

Wolfurt (draw refunded)

62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rot-Weiß Rankweil at home — creates 1.00, concedes 2.00 · 13 matches

Wolfurt away — creates 1.81, concedes 1.92 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rot-Weiß Rankweil attack 1.00 + Wolfurt defence 1.92 → ÷2 → 1.46

Wolfurt attack 1.81 + Rot-Weiß Rankweil defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Rot-Weiß Rankweil scores more

30%

level

22%

Wolfurt scores more

48%

Wolfurt at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Wolfurt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff