Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Ross County vs Partick — League Cup 2022

Ross County
Ross County
FT
1 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Partick
Partick
J. White 88'
B. Stanway 84'
L. Chalmers 64'
R. Crawford 44'
7/26/2025League CupLeague Cup · Group Stage - 5Global Energy Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Ross County43%
×Draw21%
Partick36%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ross County
2.10
Partick
1.91

Ross County creates 10% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 10 away

creates per match

Ross County
2.89
Partick
2.60

allows per match

Ross County
1.22
Partick
1.30

finishing

Ross County+0.00on par
Partick+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

75%Yes
  • Yes75
  • No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ross County ↓

Partick →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Ross County or draw
64%
Ross County or Partick
79%
Draw or Partick
57%

Winning margin

Ross County wins by 2+
24%
Partick wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Ross County 1+ goals
88%
Ross County 2+ goals
62%
Ross County 3+ goals
35%
Partick 1+ goals
85%
Partick 2+ goals
57%
Partick 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

Ross County (draw refunded)
55%
Partick (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
67%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ross County at home — creates 2.89, concedes 1.22 · 9 matches

Partick away — creates 2.60, concedes 1.30 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ross County attack 2.89 + Partick defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 2.10

Partick attack 2.60 + Ross County defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Ross County scores more
43%
level
21%
Partick scores more
36%

Ross County at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Ross County will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

23'
Ben Crompton
34'
Declan Gallagher
44'
R. Crawford↳ L. McBeth
46'
A. Lyall← N. Clark
55'
J. White← A. Emslie
64'
L. Chalmers
67'
J. Lindsay← R. Docherty
73'
B. Stanway← T. Letsosa
78'
S. Lawless← A. Fitzpatrick
79'
K. Phillips← B. Crompton
84'
B. Stanway↳ T. Watt
85'
Ronan Hale
85'
M. Falconer← R. Crawford
86'
T. Horn← T. Watt
88'
J. White↳ J. Henderson

Statistics

RossPartick
Discipline
3Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0

League Cup: Ross County 1–3 Partick

Partick beat Ross County 3-1 in League Cup on July 26, 2025.

Goals: R. Crawford (44'), L. Chalmers (64'), B. Stanway (84'), J. White (88').

The match was played at Global Energy Stadium in Dingwall.