Rospak 0–0 Future Stars: Result & Stats

Rospak

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Future Stars

2/21/2026

Division One League · Round 20

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Rospak59%

×Draw26%

Future Stars15%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

RospakExpected goals in this matchFuture Stars

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.54

0.64

Rospak

1.54

Future Stars

0.64

Rospak creates 141% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

1.60

creates per match

0.60

0.67

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Rospak

1.60

Future Stars

0.60

allows per match

Rospak

0.67

Future Stars

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Rospak+0.00on par

Future Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No63
Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rospak ↓

Future Stars →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–17%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–111%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

18%82%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Rospak or draw

85%

Rospak or Future Stars

74%

Draw or Future Stars

41%

Winning margin

Rospak wins by 2+

32%

Future Stars wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Rospak 1+ goals

79%

Rospak 2+ goals

45%

Rospak 3+ goals

20%

Future Stars 1+ goals

47%

Future Stars 2+ goals

14%

Future Stars 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Rospak (draw refunded)

79%

Future Stars (draw refunded)

21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

26%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rospak at home — creates 1.60, concedes 0.67 · 15 matches

Future Stars away — creates 0.60, concedes 1.47 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rospak attack 1.60 + Future Stars defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.54

Future Stars attack 0.60 + Rospak defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Rospak scores more

59%

level

26%

Future Stars scores more

15%

Rospak at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Rospak will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff