Romania U19 11–0 Liechtenstein U19: Result & Stats

Romania U19

FT

11 – 0

HT: 8 – 0

Liechtenstein U19

S. Amarandei 80'

R. Cojocariu 69', 13'

M. David 62'

F. Pellegrini 42', 37', 15'

S. Banu 34', 32'

R. Coman 29'

H. Batzula 11'

3/28/2026

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualification - Round 1 - League B - 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Romania U1994%

×Draw4%

Liechtenstein U191%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Romania U19Expected goals in this matchLiechtenstein U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

4.56

0.56

Romania U19

4.56

Liechtenstein U19

0.56

Romania U19 creates 714% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 8 away

2.88

creates per match

0.13

1.00

allows per match

6.25

creates per match

Romania U19

2.88

Liechtenstein U19

0.13

allows per match

Romania U19

1.00

Liechtenstein U19

6.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Romania U19+0.00on par

Liechtenstein U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over86
Under14

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Romania U19 ↓

Liechtenstein U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–10%

0–20%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–03%

1–12%

1–21%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–08%

2–14%

2–21%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–011%

3–16%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–013%

4–17%

4–22%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 4–0 (13%) · grid covers 63% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

96%4%2.5

86%14%3.5

70%30%4.5

49%51%

Double chance

Romania U19 or draw

99%

Romania U19 or Liechtenstein U19

96%

Draw or Liechtenstein U19

6%

Winning margin

Romania U19 wins by 2+

85%

Liechtenstein U19 wins by 2+

0%

Team goals

Romania U19 1+ goals

99%

Romania U19 2+ goals

93%

Romania U19 3+ goals

80%

Liechtenstein U19 1+ goals

43%

Liechtenstein U19 2+ goals

11%

Liechtenstein U19 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Romania U19 (draw refunded)

98%

Liechtenstein U19 (draw refunded)

2%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Romania U19 at home — creates 2.88, concedes 1.00 · 16 matches

Liechtenstein U19 away — creates 0.13, concedes 6.25 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Romania U19 attack 2.88 + Liechtenstein U19 defence 6.25 → ÷2 → 4.56

Liechtenstein U19 attack 0.13 + Romania U19 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 94%?"

Romania U19 scores more

94%

level

4%

Liechtenstein U19 scores more

1%

Romania U19 at 94% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 94% does not mean "Romania U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

11'

H. Batzula

13'

R. Cojocariu↳ S. Banu

15'

F. Pellegrini↳ C. Gheorghe

29'

R. Coman↳ S. Banu

32'

S. Banu↳ R. Draghici

34'

S. Banu↳ F. Badarau

37'

F. Pellegrini↳ F. Badarau

42'

F. Pellegrini↳ H. Batzula

46'

I. Podoleanu← R. Coman

46'

J. Wohlwend← V. Scheidl

46'

N. Kessler← D. Nipp

46'

N. Biedermann← J. Balbuena

57'

L. Gerner← E. Wolf

61'

A. Bota← F. Pellegrini

61'

S. Amarandei← R. Draghici

61'

M. David← A. Roates

62'

M. David

69'

R. Cojocariu

77'

R. Avram← S. Banu

80'

S. Amarandei↳ M. David

81'

L. Zekan← N. Gunsch

Romania

Liechtenstein

12

Heitz

17

▼

Nipp

5

Honorio

14

Lukas

6

▼

Scheidl

18

▼

8

10

2

15

▼

Gunsch

9

▼

Balbuena

12

Craciun

3

A

Badarau

5

Ungureanu

4

⚽2

Cojocariu

15

⚽

▼

Coman

18

⚽A

Batzula

16

A

▼

Draghici

7

⚽2A

▼

Banu

2

A

Gheorghe

9

▼

Roates

20

⚽3

▼

Pellegrin

Manager: Pavel-Adrian Dulcea

46'▲I. Podoleanu←▼R. Coman

61'▲A. Bota←▼F. Pellegrini

61'▲S. Amarandei←▼R. Draghici

61'▲M. David←▼A. Roates

77'▲R. Avram←▼S. Banu

Romania U19 substitutes

1Farcas8Podoleanu10Bota11Taroi13Avram14Vechiu17Amarandei19David

Manager: M. Koller

46'▲J. Wohlwend←▼V. Scheidl

46'▲N. Kessler←▼D. Nipp

46'▲N. Biedermann←▼J. Balbuena

57'▲L. Gerner←▼E. Wolf

81'▲L. Zekan←▼N. Gunsch

Liechtenstein U19 substitutes

1Hassler4Zekan11Wohlwend16Kessler19Biedermann20Gerner