Romania U19 5–1 Georgia U19: Result & Stats

Romania U19

FT

5 – 1

HT: 3 – 1

Georgia U19

E. Radaslavescu 60'

R. Ilie 47'

A. Pantea 45' (pen)

G. Dănuleasă 31'

A. Chirițoiu 11'

G. Abuashvili 39'

3/23/2022

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Elite Round - 2ŠRC Velika Gorica

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Romania U1970%

×Draw17%

Georgia U1913%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Romania U19Expected goals in this matchGeorgia U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.58

1.04

Romania U19

2.58

Georgia U19

1.04

Romania U19 creates 148% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 14 away

2.88

creates per match

1.07

1.00

allows per match

2.29

creates per match

Romania U19

2.88

Georgia U19

1.07

allows per match

Romania U19

1.00

Georgia U19

2.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Romania U19+0.00on par

Georgia U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over70
Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Romania U19 ↓

Georgia U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–13%

0–21%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–17%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–18%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–05%

4–15%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

87%13%2.5

70%30%3.5

48%52%4.5

29%71%

Double chance

Romania U19 or draw

87%

Romania U19 or Georgia U19

83%

Draw or Georgia U19

30%

Winning margin

Romania U19 wins by 2+

48%

Georgia U19 wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Romania U19 1+ goals

92%

Romania U19 2+ goals

72%

Romania U19 3+ goals

47%

Georgia U19 1+ goals

65%

Georgia U19 2+ goals

28%

Georgia U19 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Romania U19 (draw refunded)

84%

Georgia U19 (draw refunded)

16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Romania U19 at home — creates 2.88, concedes 1.00 · 16 matches

Georgia U19 away — creates 1.07, concedes 2.29 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Romania U19 attack 2.88 + Georgia U19 defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 2.58

Georgia U19 attack 1.07 + Romania U19 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Romania U19 scores more

70%

level

17%

Georgia U19 scores more

13%

Romania U19 at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Romania U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

11'

23'

31'

34'

39'

44'

44'

S. Pîrvulescu← C. Amzăr

45'

A. PanteaPenalty

46'

M. Bagrationi← G. Mamageishvili

47'

R. Ilie

52'

L. Andronache← A. Chirițoiu

52'

N. Popescu← L. Mihai

60'

E. Radaslavescu

62'

N. Tskhovrebashvili← G. Geguchadze

66'

A. Hofman← E. Radaslavescu

66'

R. Tănasă← Ș. Bodișteanu

67'

N. Sikharulashvili← L. Tsulukidze

67'

T. Gognadze← G. Abuashvili

79'

N. Sikharulashvili

80'

S. Khvadagiani

80'

L. Kekelidze← S. Khvadagiani

90+2'

N. Sikharulashvili

90+2'

N. Sikharulashvili

Romania

Georgia

1

Kharatish

2

▼

3

5

4

10

⚽

▼

Abuashvil

11

▼

Mamageish

6

Mamageish

7

Gvishiani

8

▼

Geguchadz

17

▼

Tsulukidz

1

Popa

3

⚽

Dănuleasă

2

⚽

Pantea

19

▼

Amzăr

14

Coubiș

8

Pandele

7

⚽

▼

Radaslave

11

▼

Bodiștean

10

⚽

Ilie

22

▼

Mihai

9

⚽

▼

Chirițoiu

Manager: A. Văsâi

44'▲S. Pîrvulescu←▼C. Amzăr

52'▲L. Andronache←▼A. Chirițoiu

52'▲N. Popescu←▼L. Mihai

66'▲A. Hofman←▼E. Radaslavescu

66'▲R. Tănasă←▼Ș. Bodișteanu

Romania U19 substitutes

16Pîrvulescu15Andronache20Popescu18Hofman17Tănasă12Mitrovic4Gergely5Andrei6Sîrbu

Manager: V. Maisuradze

46'▲M. Bagrationi←▼G. Mamageishvili

62'▲N. Tskhovrebashvili←▼G. Geguchadze

67'▲N. Sikharulashvili←▼L. Tsulukidze

67'▲T. Gognadze←▼G. Abuashvili

80'▲L. Kekelidze←▼S. Khvadagiani

Georgia U19 substitutes

15Bagrationi16Tskhovrebashvili19Sikharulashvili20Gognadze18Kekelidze13Latsabidze12Tandilashvili14Ugrekhelidze

Match Recap: Romania U19 vs Georgia U19

Romania U19 beat Georgia U19 5-1 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on March 23, 2022.

Goals: A. Chirițoiu (11'), G. Dănuleasă (31'), G. Abuashvili (39'), A. Pantea (45' pen), R. Ilie (47'), E. Radaslavescu (60').

The match was played at ŠRC Velika Gorica in Velika Gorica.

Romania U19 vs Georgia U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Romania U19 vs Georgia U19