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Ripensia Timisoara vs Șoimii Lipova — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Ripensia Timisoara
Ripensia Timisoara
FT
5 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Șoimii Lipova
Șoimii Lipova
7/17/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Ripensia Timisoara88%
×Draw10%
Șoimii Lipova3%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ripensia Timisoara
2.83
Șoimii Lipova
0.34

Ripensia Timisoara creates 732% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

Ripensia Timisoara
2.67
Șoimii Lipova
0.00

allows per match

Ripensia Timisoara
0.67
Șoimii Lipova
3.00

finishing

Ripensia Timisoara+0.00on par
Șoimii Lipova+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%No
  • No73
  • Yes27

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ripensia Timisoara ↓

Șoimii Lipova →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–11%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–14%
1–21%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–017%
2–16%
2–21%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–016%
3–16%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–012%
4–14%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (17%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Ripensia Timisoara or draw
97%
Ripensia Timisoara or Șoimii Lipova
90%
Draw or Șoimii Lipova
12%

Winning margin

Ripensia Timisoara wins by 2+
69%
Șoimii Lipova wins by 2+
0%

Team goals

Ripensia Timisoara 1+ goals
94%
Ripensia Timisoara 2+ goals
77%
Ripensia Timisoara 3+ goals
53%
Șoimii Lipova 1+ goals
29%
Șoimii Lipova 2+ goals
5%
Șoimii Lipova 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Ripensia Timisoara (draw refunded)
97%
Șoimii Lipova (draw refunded)
3%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
23%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ripensia Timisoara at home — creates 2.67, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

Șoimii Lipova away — creates 0.00, concedes 3.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ripensia Timisoara attack 2.67 + Șoimii Lipova defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.83

Șoimii Lipova attack 0.00 + Ripensia Timisoara defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 88%?"

Ripensia Timisoara scores more
88%
level
10%
Șoimii Lipova scores more
3%

Ripensia Timisoara at 88% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 88% does not mean "Ripensia Timisoara will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Ripensia Timisoara 5–0 Șoimii Lipova

Ripensia Timisoara beat Șoimii Lipova 5-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 17, 2021.