Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Rimavská Sobota vs Svidník — 3. liga - East 2020

Rimavská Sobota
Rimavská Sobota
FT
6 – 1
HT: 3 – 0
Svidník
Svidník
11/5/20233. liga - East3. liga - East · East - 14Futbalový štadión Na Záhradkách

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Rimavská Sobota72%
×Draw15%
Svidník13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rimavská Sobota
2.83
Svidník
1.12

Rimavská Sobota creates 153% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 52 away

creates per match

Rimavská Sobota
2.30
Svidník
1.06

allows per match

Rimavská Sobota
1.18
Svidník
3.35

finishing

Rimavská Sobota+0.00on par
Svidník+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rimavská Sobota ↓

Svidník →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–16%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–16%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
54%46%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

Rimavská Sobota or draw
87%
Rimavská Sobota or Svidník
85%
Draw or Svidník
28%

Winning margin

Rimavská Sobota wins by 2+
51%
Svidník wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Rimavská Sobota 1+ goals
94%
Rimavská Sobota 2+ goals
77%
Rimavská Sobota 3+ goals
53%
Svidník 1+ goals
67%
Svidník 2+ goals
31%
Svidník 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Rimavská Sobota (draw refunded)
85%
Svidník (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rimavská Sobota at home — creates 2.30, concedes 1.18 · 44 matches

Svidník away — creates 1.06, concedes 3.35 · 52 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rimavská Sobota attack 2.30 + Svidník defence 3.35 → ÷2 → 2.83

Svidník attack 1.06 + Rimavská Sobota defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Rimavská Sobota scores more
72%
level
15%
Svidník scores more
13%

Rimavská Sobota at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Rimavská Sobota will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Rimavská Sobota vs Svidník

Rimavská Sobota beat Svidník 6-1 in 3. liga - East on November 5, 2023.

The match was played at Futbalový štadión Na Záhradkách in Rimavská Sobota.