Reyady Abaseya 2–2 Shabab Al Sahel: Result & Stats

Reyady Abaseya

FT

2 – 2

HT: 2 – 0

Shabab Al Sahel

Fadel Ajami 45+3', 15'

Said Saad 90'

Hadi Dakwar 55'

2/25/2025

Premier League · Round 7Abbas Naser Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 24+ matches

Reyady Abaseya37%

×Draw28%

Shabab Al Sahel35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Reyady AbaseyaExpected goals in this matchShabab Al Sahel

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.18

1.14

Reyady Abaseya

1.18

Shabab Al Sahel

1.14

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 24 home / 64 away

1.13

creates per match

1.19

1.08

allows per match

1.23

creates per match

Reyady Abaseya

1.13

Shabab Al Sahel

1.19

allows per match

Reyady Abaseya

1.08

Shabab Al Sahel

1.23

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Reyady Abaseya+0.00on par

Shabab Al Sahel+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Reyady Abaseya ↓

Shabab Al Sahel →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–111%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–24%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

41%59%3.5

20%80%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Reyady Abaseya or draw

65%

Reyady Abaseya or Shabab Al Sahel

72%

Draw or Shabab Al Sahel

63%

Winning margin

Reyady Abaseya wins by 2+

16%

Shabab Al Sahel wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Reyady Abaseya 1+ goals

69%

Reyady Abaseya 2+ goals

33%

Reyady Abaseya 3+ goals

12%

Shabab Al Sahel 1+ goals

68%

Shabab Al Sahel 2+ goals

32%

Shabab Al Sahel 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Reyady Abaseya (draw refunded)

51%

Shabab Al Sahel (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Reyady Abaseya at home — creates 1.13, concedes 1.08 · 24 matches

Shabab Al Sahel away — creates 1.19, concedes 1.23 · 64 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Reyady Abaseya attack 1.13 + Shabab Al Sahel defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.18

Shabab Al Sahel attack 1.19 + Reyady Abaseya defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Reyady Abaseya scores more

37%

level

28%

Shabab Al Sahel scores more

35%

Reyady Abaseya at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Reyady Abaseya will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

15'

Fadel Ajami

45+3'

Fadel Ajami

46'

Hassan Salameh← Mahmoud Hoteit

46'

Hussain Awada← Hasan Hazemeh

46'

Said Saad← Ali Fakih

46'

A. Agbodzie← Sajed Amhaz

55'

Hadi Dakwar

67'

Shadi Al Haj Mohammad← Saleem Hamadi

71'

Hasan Jaafar← Mohammad Haydar

89'

Hassan Khalefeh← Sadek Farahat

90'

Said Saad

Reyady

Shabab

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

⚽2

▼

Manager: Mohammad Zoher

67'▲Shadi Al Haj Mohammad←▼Saleem Hamadi

89'▲Hassan Khalefeh←▼Sadek Farahat

Reyady Abaseya substitutes

MohammadKhalefeh

Manager: Fadi Al Kakhi

46'▲Hassan Salameh←▼Mahmoud Hoteit

46'▲Hussain Awada←▼Hasan Hazemeh

46'▲Said Saad←▼Ali Fakih

46'▲A. Agbodzie←▼Sajed Amhaz

71'▲Hasan Jaafar←▼Mohammad Haydar

Shabab Al Sahel substitutes

SalamehAwadaSaadAgbodzieJaafar

Match Recap: Reyady Abaseya vs Shabab Al Sahel

Reyady Abaseya and Shabab Al Sahel drew 2-2 in Premier League on February 25, 2025.

Goals: Fadel Ajami (15', 45+3'), Hadi Dakwar (55'), Said Saad (90').

The match was played at Abbas Naser Stadium in Aabbasiyyeh.

Reyady Abaseya vs Shabab Al Sahel — Premier League 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Reyady Abaseya vs Shabab Al Sahel