Scoreo

Resovia Rzeszów vs FK KošiceFriendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Resovia Rzeszów53%
×Draw22%
FK Košice25%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Resovia Rzeszów
1.94
FK Košice
1.26

Resovia Rzeszów creates 54% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 21 away

creates per match

Resovia Rzeszów
2.25
FK Košice
1.52

allows per match

Resovia Rzeszów
1.00
FK Košice
1.62

finishing

Resovia Rzeszów+0.00on par
FK Košice+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Resovia Rzeszów

FK Košice
0
1
2
3
4
0
004%
015%
023%
031%
040%
1
108%
1110%
126%
133%
141%
2
208%
2110%
226%
233%
241%
3
305%
316%
324%
332%
341%
4
402%
413%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Resovia Rzeszów or draw
75%
Resovia Rzeszów or FK Košice
78%
Draw or FK Košice
47%

Winning margin

Resovia Rzeszów wins by 2+
31%
FK Košice wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Resovia Rzeszów 1+ goals
86%
Resovia Rzeszów 2+ goals
58%
Resovia Rzeszów 3+ goals
30%
FK Košice 1+ goals
72%
FK Košice 2+ goals
36%
FK Košice 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Resovia Rzeszów (draw refunded)
68%
FK Košice (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Resovia Rzeszów at homecreates 2.25, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

FK Košice awaycreates 1.52, concedes 1.62 · 21 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Resovia Rzeszów attack 2.25 + FK Košice defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.94

FK Košice attack 1.52 + Resovia Rzeszów defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.26

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Resovia Rzeszów scores more
53%
level
22%
FK Košice scores more
25%

Resovia Rzeszów at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Resovia Rzeszów will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Resovia Rzeszów host FK Košice

January 24, 2024: Resovia Rzeszów take on FK Košice in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Resovia Rzeszów host FK Košice at Stadion MOSiR.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.