Rep. Of Ireland 0–0 FYR Macedonia: Result & Stats

Rep. Of Ireland

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

FYR Macedonia

3/31/2026

Friendlies · Friendly InternationalAviva Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Rep. Of Ireland60%

×Draw26%

FYR Macedonia14%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rep. Of IrelandExpected goals in this matchFYR Macedonia

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.52

0.59

Rep. Of Ireland

1.52

FYR Macedonia

0.59

Rep. Of Ireland creates 158% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 10 away

1.65

creates per match

0.30

0.88

allows per match

1.40

creates per match

Rep. Of Ireland

1.65

FYR Macedonia

0.30

allows per match

Rep. Of Ireland

0.88

FYR Macedonia

1.40

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Rep. Of Ireland+0.00on par

FYR Macedonia+0.00on par

Total goals

Under65
Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No65
Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rep. Of Ireland ↓

FYR Macedonia →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–17%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–018%

1–111%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–014%

2–18%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

62%38%2.5

35%65%3.5

16%84%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Rep. Of Ireland or draw

86%

Rep. Of Ireland or FYR Macedonia

74%

Draw or FYR Macedonia

40%

Winning margin

Rep. Of Ireland wins by 2+

32%

FYR Macedonia wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Rep. Of Ireland 1+ goals

78%

Rep. Of Ireland 2+ goals

45%

Rep. Of Ireland 3+ goals

20%

FYR Macedonia 1+ goals

45%

FYR Macedonia 2+ goals

12%

FYR Macedonia 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Rep. Of Ireland (draw refunded)

81%

FYR Macedonia (draw refunded)

19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

24%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rep. Of Ireland at home — creates 1.65, concedes 0.88 · 17 matches

FYR Macedonia away — creates 0.30, concedes 1.40 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rep. Of Ireland attack 1.65 + FYR Macedonia defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.52

FYR Macedonia attack 0.30 + Rep. Of Ireland defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 0.59

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Rep. Of Ireland scores more

60%

level

26%

FYR Macedonia scores more

14%

Rep. Of Ireland at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Rep. Of Ireland will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

13

I. Fetai

FYR Macedonia · D

8.2

Match Events

46'

N. Serafimov← D. Velkovski

46'

D. Musovski← E. Rastoder

46'

M. Ristovski← E. Bardhi

60'

B. Nikolov← T. Kostadinov

60'

L. Stankovski← D. Churlinov

60'

R. Ramadani← E. Elmas

60'

L. Doriev← I. Alimi

61'

M. Travers← C. Kelleher

61'

H. Vale← J. Molumby

61'

J. Abankwah← S. Coleman

61'

B. Lawal← F. Azaz

66'

V. Musliu← I. Fetai

71'

E. Bejtulai←

72'

J. O'Brien← J. Egan

72'

A. Idah← T. Parrott

83'

A. Browne←

84'

J. Kenny← C. Ogbene

90+1'

S. Dimitrievski

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Rep.FYR

Overview

56%Possession44%

15Total Shots3

8Corners1

4Fouls9

Shots

15Total Shots3

3On Target1

7Off Target1

5Blocked1

9Inside Box0

6Outside Box3

Passing

56%Possession44%

510Total Passes413

427Accurate Passes334

84%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

Discipline

4Fouls9

0Yellow Cards1

4Offsides0