Renaissance Berkane 0–0 UTS Rabat: Result & Stats

Renaissance Berkane

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

UTS Rabat

2/14/2024

Botola Pro · Round 18Stade Municipal de Berkane

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 61+ matches

Renaissance Berkane47%

×Draw27%

UTS Rabat26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Renaissance BerkaneExpected goals in this matchUTS Rabat

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.45

1.00

Renaissance Berkane

1.45

UTS Rabat

1.00

Renaissance Berkane creates 45% more chances

Season form · 120 home / 61 away

1.54

creates per match

1.07

0.94

allows per match

1.36

creates per match

Renaissance Berkane

1.54

UTS Rabat

1.07

allows per match

Renaissance Berkane

0.94

UTS Rabat

1.36

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Renaissance Berkane+0.00on par

UTS Rabat+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Renaissance Berkane ↓

UTS Rabat →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Renaissance Berkane or draw

74%

Renaissance Berkane or UTS Rabat

73%

Draw or UTS Rabat

53%

Winning margin

Renaissance Berkane wins by 2+

23%

UTS Rabat wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Renaissance Berkane 1+ goals

77%

Renaissance Berkane 2+ goals

42%

Renaissance Berkane 3+ goals

18%

UTS Rabat 1+ goals

63%

UTS Rabat 2+ goals

26%

UTS Rabat 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Renaissance Berkane (draw refunded)

65%

UTS Rabat (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Renaissance Berkane at home — creates 1.54, concedes 0.94 · 120 matches

UTS Rabat away — creates 1.07, concedes 1.36 · 61 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Renaissance Berkane attack 1.54 + UTS Rabat defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.45

UTS Rabat attack 1.07 + Renaissance Berkane defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Renaissance Berkane scores more

47%

level

27%

UTS Rabat scores more

26%

Renaissance Berkane at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Renaissance Berkane will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Botola Pro: Renaissance Berkane 0–0 UTS Rabat

Renaissance Berkane and UTS Rabat drew 0-0 in Botola Pro on February 14, 2024.

The match was played at Stade Municipal de Berkane in Berkane.

Renaissance Berkane vs UTS Rabat — Botola Pro 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Botola Pro: Renaissance Berkane 0–0 UTS Rabat