Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Remo vs Coritiba — Serie B 2026

Remo
Remo
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Coritiba
Coritiba
10/4/2021Serie BSerie B · Round 28Estádio Evandro Almeida

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Remo40%
×Draw31%
Coritiba29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Remo
1.09
Coritiba
0.88

Remo creates 24% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 73 away

creates per match

Remo
0.97
Coritiba
1.00

allows per match

Remo
0.76
Coritiba
1.21

finishing

Remo+0.00on par
Coritiba+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Under
  • Under68
  • Over32

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Remo ↓

Coritiba →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–112%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
59%41%2.5
32%68%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Remo or draw
71%
Remo or Coritiba
69%
Draw or Coritiba
60%

Winning margin

Remo wins by 2+
16%
Coritiba wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Remo 1+ goals
66%
Remo 2+ goals
30%
Remo 3+ goals
10%
Coritiba 1+ goals
59%
Coritiba 2+ goals
22%
Coritiba 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Remo (draw refunded)
58%
Coritiba (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Remo at home — creates 0.97, concedes 0.76 · 38 matches

Coritiba away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.21 · 73 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Remo attack 0.97 + Coritiba defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.09

Coritiba attack 1.00 + Remo defence 0.76 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Remo scores more
40%
level
31%
Coritiba scores more
29%

Remo at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Remo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

3
MarlonRemoRemo · D
7.3

Match Events

45+1'
Rafinha
57'
Marlon
63'
Guilherme Biro
65'
Valdeci← Matheus Sales
65'
Gui Azevedo← Rafinha
67'
Neto Moura← Arthur Santos
67'
Pingo← Marcos Júnior
67'
Jefferson← Lucas Siqueira
74'
Pingo
75'
Renan Gorne← Matheus Oliveira
76'
Rafinha← Lucas Tocantins
84'
William← Igor Paixão
88'
Romário← Guilherme Biro

Possession

59%Remo

Shots

15Remo

Pass accuracy

52%Remo

Statistics

RemoCoritiba
Overview
59%Possession41%
15Total Shots9
8Corners5
11Fouls9
Shots
15Total Shots9
2On Target3
4Off Target2
9Blocked4
7Inside Box3
8Outside Box6
Passing
59%Possession41%
418Total Passes303
341Accurate Passes232
82%Pass Accuracy77%
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
Discipline
11Fouls9
2Yellow Cards2
1Offsides1

Remo 0 – 0 Coritiba

Remo and Coritiba drew 0-0 in Serie B on October 4, 2021.

Remo controlled possession (59%) and registered 15 shots to 9.

The match was played at Estádio Evandro Almeida in Belém, Pará.