Remo Stars 1–1 Kun Khalifat FC: Result & Stats

Remo Stars

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Kun Khalifat FC

1/26/2026

NPFL · Round 22Gateway Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Remo Stars57%

×Draw27%

Kun Khalifat FC16%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Remo StarsExpected goals in this matchKun Khalifat FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.44

0.63

Remo Stars

1.44

Kun Khalifat FC

0.63

Remo Stars creates 129% more chances

Season form · 98 home / 18 away

1.59

creates per match

0.83

0.43

allows per match

1.28

creates per match

Remo Stars

1.59

Kun Khalifat FC

0.83

allows per match

Remo Stars

0.43

Kun Khalifat FC

1.28

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Remo Stars+0.00on par

Kun Khalifat FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under66
Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No64
Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Remo Stars ↓

Kun Khalifat FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–18%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–018%

1–111%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

61%39%2.5

34%66%3.5

16%84%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Remo Stars or draw

84%

Remo Stars or Kun Khalifat FC

73%

Draw or Kun Khalifat FC

43%

Winning margin

Remo Stars wins by 2+

29%

Kun Khalifat FC wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Remo Stars 1+ goals

76%

Remo Stars 2+ goals

42%

Remo Stars 3+ goals

18%

Kun Khalifat FC 1+ goals

47%

Kun Khalifat FC 2+ goals

13%

Kun Khalifat FC 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Remo Stars (draw refunded)

78%

Kun Khalifat FC (draw refunded)

22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

24%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Remo Stars at home — creates 1.59, concedes 0.43 · 98 matches

Kun Khalifat FC away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.28 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Remo Stars attack 1.59 + Kun Khalifat FC defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.44

Kun Khalifat FC attack 0.83 + Remo Stars defence 0.43 → ÷2 → 0.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Remo Stars scores more

57%

level

27%

Kun Khalifat FC scores more

16%

Remo Stars at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Remo Stars will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff