Reddis 0–0 Atlètic Lleida: Result & Stats

Reddis

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Atlètic Lleida

2/16/2025

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 22Estadio Camp Nou Municipal

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Reddis38%

×Draw28%

Atlètic Lleida34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ReddisExpected goals in this matchAtlètic Lleida

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.21

1.12

Reddis

1.21

Atlètic Lleida

1.12

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 34 home / 17 away

1.47

creates per match

1.65

0.59

allows per match

0.94

creates per match

Reddis

1.47

Atlètic Lleida

1.65

allows per match

Reddis

0.59

Atlètic Lleida

0.94

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Reddis+0.00on par

Atlètic Lleida+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Reddis ↓

Atlètic Lleida →

0–010%

0–111%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2–07%

2–18%

2–24%

2–32%

2–40%

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

68%32%2.5

41%59%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Reddis or draw

66%

Reddis or Atlètic Lleida

72%

Draw or Atlètic Lleida

62%

Winning margin

Reddis wins by 2+

16%

Atlètic Lleida wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Reddis 1+ goals

70%

Reddis 2+ goals

34%

Reddis 3+ goals

12%

Atlètic Lleida 1+ goals

67%

Atlètic Lleida 2+ goals

31%

Atlètic Lleida 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Reddis (draw refunded)

53%

Atlètic Lleida (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Reddis at home — creates 1.47, concedes 0.59 · 34 matches

Atlètic Lleida away — creates 1.65, concedes 0.94 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Reddis attack 1.47 + Atlètic Lleida defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.21

Atlètic Lleida attack 1.65 + Reddis defence 0.59 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 38%?"

Reddis scores more

38%

level

28%

Atlètic Lleida scores more

34%

Reddis at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Reddis will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

Hugo Moreno← Pol Fernández

64'

Pau Russó← Pol Benito

64'

Nico Díaz← Aitor Serrano

78'

Roger Alcalá← Víctor Villote

78'

Joanet← Boris Garrós

80'

Pedro Martín← Joan Torrents

87'

Marc Grau← S. Toscano

89'

E. Jerez← Xavier Manrique

89'

Unai Jódar← S. Sidibe

89'

Guillermo Cucurull← M. Sidibe

Reddis

Atlètic

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Marc Carrasco

46'▲Hugo Moreno←▼Pol Fernández

64'▲Pau Russó←▼Pol Benito

64'▲Nico Díaz←▼Aitor Serrano

80'▲Pedro Martín←▼Joan Torrents

87'▲Marc Grau←▼S. Toscano

Reddis substitutes

MorenoRussóDíazMartínGrau

Manager: Gabri

78'▲Roger Alcalá←▼Víctor Villote

78'▲Joanet←▼Boris Garrós

89'▲E. Jerez←▼Xavier Manrique

89'▲Unai Jódar←▼S. Sidibe

89'▲Guillermo Cucurull←▼M. Sidibe

Atlètic Lleida substitutes

AlcaláJoanetJerezJódarCucurull

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5: Reddis 0–0 Atlètic Lleida

Reddis and Atlètic Lleida drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 on February 16, 2025.

The match was played at Estadio Camp Nou Municipal in Reus.

Reddis vs Atlètic Lleida — Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5: Reddis 0–0 Atlètic Lleida