Redbridge 0–0 Waltham Abbey: Result & Stats

Redbridge

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Waltham Abbey

1/3/2026

League #52 · Isthmian North - 25Oakside Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Redbridge46%

×Draw23%

Waltham Abbey31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

RedbridgeExpected goals in this matchWaltham Abbey

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.83

1.46

Redbridge

1.83

Waltham Abbey

1.46

Redbridge creates 25% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 5 away

2.27

creates per match

1.20

1.73

allows per match

1.40

creates per match

Redbridge

2.27

Waltham Abbey

1.20

allows per match

Redbridge

1.73

Waltham Abbey

1.40

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Redbridge+0.00on par

Waltham Abbey+0.00on par

Total goals

Over64
Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Redbridge ↓

Waltham Abbey →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

64%36%3.5

42%58%4.5

23%77%

Double chance

Redbridge or draw

69%

Redbridge or Waltham Abbey

77%

Draw or Waltham Abbey

54%

Winning margin

Redbridge wins by 2+

25%

Waltham Abbey wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Redbridge 1+ goals

84%

Redbridge 2+ goals

54%

Redbridge 3+ goals

28%

Waltham Abbey 1+ goals

77%

Waltham Abbey 2+ goals

43%

Waltham Abbey 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Redbridge (draw refunded)

60%

Waltham Abbey (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Redbridge at home — creates 2.27, concedes 1.73 · 15 matches

Waltham Abbey away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.40 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Redbridge attack 2.27 + Waltham Abbey defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.83

Waltham Abbey attack 1.20 + Redbridge defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.46

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Redbridge scores more

46%

level

23%

Waltham Abbey scores more

31%

Redbridge at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Redbridge will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff