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Redbridge vs Brantham Athletic — League #52 2026

Redbridge
Redbridge
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Brantham Athletic
Brantham Athletic
3/7/2026League #52League #52

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Redbridge71%
×Draw16%
Brantham Athletic13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Redbridge
2.63
Brantham Athletic
1.03

Redbridge creates 155% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 3 away

creates per match

Redbridge
2.27
Brantham Athletic
0.33

allows per match

Redbridge
1.73
Brantham Athletic
3.00

finishing

Redbridge+0.00on par
Brantham Athletic+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Redbridge ↓

Brantham Athletic →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–17%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Redbridge or draw
87%
Redbridge or Brantham Athletic
84%
Draw or Brantham Athletic
29%

Winning margin

Redbridge wins by 2+
49%
Brantham Athletic wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Redbridge 1+ goals
93%
Redbridge 2+ goals
73%
Redbridge 3+ goals
48%
Brantham Athletic 1+ goals
64%
Brantham Athletic 2+ goals
28%
Brantham Athletic 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Redbridge (draw refunded)
85%
Brantham Athletic (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Redbridge at home — creates 2.27, concedes 1.73 · 15 matches

Brantham Athletic away — creates 0.33, concedes 3.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Redbridge attack 2.27 + Brantham Athletic defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.63

Brantham Athletic attack 0.33 + Redbridge defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 71%?"

Redbridge scores more
71%
level
16%
Brantham Athletic scores more
13%

Redbridge at 71% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 71% does not mean "Redbridge will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #52: Redbridge 2–0 Brantham Athletic

Redbridge beat Brantham Athletic 2-0 in League #52 on March 7, 2026.