Real Titánico 2–3 Navarro: Result & Stats

Real Titánico

2 – 3

HT: 0 – 1

Navarro

2/15/2026

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 22Estadio De Fútbol Las Tolvas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 63+ matches

Real Titánico42%

×Draw27%

Navarro32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Real TitánicoExpected goals in this matchNavarro

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.38

1.16

Real Titánico

1.38

Navarro

1.16

Real Titánico creates 19% more chances

Season form · 97 home / 63 away

1.13

creates per match

0.89

1.43

allows per match

1.63

creates per match

Real Titánico

1.13

Navarro

0.89

allows per match

Real Titánico

1.43

Navarro

1.63

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Real Titánico+0.00on par

Navarro+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Titánico ↓

Navarro →

0–08%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1–011%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Real Titánico or draw

68%

Real Titánico or Navarro

73%

Draw or Navarro

58%

Winning margin

Real Titánico wins by 2+

20%

Navarro wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Real Titánico 1+ goals

75%

Real Titánico 2+ goals

40%

Real Titánico 3+ goals

16%

Navarro 1+ goals

69%

Navarro 2+ goals

32%

Navarro 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Real Titánico (draw refunded)

57%

Navarro (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Real Titánico at home — creates 1.13, concedes 1.43 · 97 matches

Navarro away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.63 · 63 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Real Titánico attack 1.13 + Navarro defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.38

Navarro attack 0.89 + Real Titánico defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 42%?"

Real Titánico scores more

42%

level

27%

Navarro scores more

32%

Real Titánico at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Real Titánico will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2: Real Titánico 2–3 Navarro

Navarro beat Real Titánico 3-2 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 on February 15, 2026.

The match was played at Estadio De Fútbol Las Tolvas in Laviana.

Real Titánico vs Navarro — Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2: Real Titánico 2–3 Navarro