Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Real Tamale vs Bibiani Gold Stars — Premier League 2019

Real Tamale
Real Tamale
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Bibiani Gold Stars
Bibiani Gold Stars
M. Sadat 23' (pen)
M. Fuseini 18' (pen)
1/16/2022Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 13Aliu Mahama Sports Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 53+ matches

Real Tamale52%
×Draw27%
Bibiani Gold Stars20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Real Tamale
1.40
Bibiani Gold Stars
0.76

Real Tamale creates 84% more chances

Season form · 53 home / 84 away

creates per match

Real Tamale
1.30
Bibiani Gold Stars
0.70

allows per match

Real Tamale
0.83
Bibiani Gold Stars
1.50

finishing

Real Tamale+0.00on par
Bibiani Gold Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Tamale ↓

Bibiani Gold Stars →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–19%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–112%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Real Tamale or draw
80%
Real Tamale or Bibiani Gold Stars
73%
Draw or Bibiani Gold Stars
48%

Winning margin

Real Tamale wins by 2+
26%
Bibiani Gold Stars wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Real Tamale 1+ goals
75%
Real Tamale 2+ goals
41%
Real Tamale 3+ goals
17%
Bibiani Gold Stars 1+ goals
53%
Bibiani Gold Stars 2+ goals
18%
Bibiani Gold Stars 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Real Tamale (draw refunded)
72%
Bibiani Gold Stars (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Tamale at home — creates 1.30, concedes 0.83 · 53 matches

Bibiani Gold Stars away — creates 0.70, concedes 1.50 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Tamale attack 1.30 + Bibiani Gold Stars defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.40

Bibiani Gold Stars attack 0.70 + Real Tamale defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 0.76

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Real Tamale scores more
52%
level
27%
Bibiani Gold Stars scores more
20%

Real Tamale at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Real Tamale will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

18'
M. FuseiniPenalty
23'
M. SadatPenalty
32'
S. Amofa
47'
A. Cobbinah← A. Cobbinah
47'
A. L. Abubakar← A. L. Abubakar
75'
K. Boafo← K. Boafo

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Real Tamale 2–0 Bibiani Gold Stars

Real Tamale beat Bibiani Gold Stars 2-0 in Premier League on January 16, 2022.

Goals: M. Fuseini (18' pen), M. Sadat (23' pen).

The match was played at Aliu Mahama Sports Stadium in Tamale.