Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Real Sociedad W vs Edf Logrono W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Real Sociedad W
Real Sociedad W
Preview
15:00
Edf Logrono W
Edf Logrono W
8/30/2026Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 1Instalaciones de Zubieta
Big match
57%
Real Sociedad W
model favours
57%22%21%

Real Sociedad W have won 5 of the last 7 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
58%
over 2.5 goals
57%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 57+ matches

Real Sociedad W57%
×Draw22%
Edf Logrono W21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Real Sociedad W
1.95
Edf Logrono W
1.08

Real Sociedad W creates 81% more chances

Season form · 119 home / 57 away

creates per match

Real Sociedad W
1.87
Edf Logrono W
0.91

allows per match

Real Sociedad W
1.26
Edf Logrono W
2.02

finishing

Real Sociedad W+0.00on par
Edf Logrono W+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Sociedad W ↓

Edf Logrono W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Real Sociedad W or draw
79%
Real Sociedad W or Edf Logrono W
78%
Draw or Edf Logrono W
43%

Winning margin

Real Sociedad W wins by 2+
34%
Edf Logrono W wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Real Sociedad W 1+ goals
86%
Real Sociedad W 2+ goals
58%
Real Sociedad W 3+ goals
31%
Edf Logrono W 1+ goals
66%
Edf Logrono W 2+ goals
29%
Edf Logrono W 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Real Sociedad W (draw refunded)
74%
Edf Logrono W (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Sociedad W at home — creates 1.87, concedes 1.26 · 119 matches

Edf Logrono W away — creates 0.91, concedes 2.02 · 57 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Sociedad W attack 1.87 + Edf Logrono W defence 2.02 → ÷2 → 1.95

Edf Logrono W attack 0.91 + Real Sociedad W defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Real Sociedad W scores more
57%
level
22%
Edf Logrono W scores more
21%

Real Sociedad W at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Real Sociedad W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Edf Logrono W win just 7% against the top half (vs 36% against the bottom)
  • Real Sociedad W sit 3, Edf Logrono W 14 in the table

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
WLWWW
W
LLWWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Real Sociedad W host Edf Logrono W

August 30, 2026: Real Sociedad W take on Edf Logrono W in Primera División Femenina. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Real Sociedad W host Edf Logrono W at Instalaciones de Zubieta.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.