Edf Logrono W 0–1 Real Sociedad W: Result & Stats

Edf Logrono W

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Real Sociedad W

N. Eizaguirre 90' (pen)

9/6/2025

Primera División Femenina · Round 2Estadio Las Gaunas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

Edf Logrono W32%

×Draw24%

Real Sociedad W44%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Edf Logrono WExpected goals in this matchReal Sociedad W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.40

1.69

Edf Logrono W

1.40

Real Sociedad W

1.69

Real Sociedad W creates 21% more chances

Season form · 58 home / 119 away

1.34

creates per match

1.65

1.72

allows per match

1.46

creates per match

Edf Logrono W

1.34

Real Sociedad W

1.65

allows per match

Edf Logrono W

1.72

Real Sociedad W

1.46

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Edf Logrono W+0.00on par

Real Sociedad W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Edf Logrono W ↓

Real Sociedad W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–27%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–06%

1–111%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–18%

2–26%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

60%40%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Edf Logrono W or draw

56%

Edf Logrono W or Real Sociedad W

76%

Draw or Real Sociedad W

68%

Winning margin

Edf Logrono W wins by 2+

14%

Real Sociedad W wins by 2+

23%

Team goals

Edf Logrono W 1+ goals

75%

Edf Logrono W 2+ goals

41%

Edf Logrono W 3+ goals

17%

Real Sociedad W 1+ goals

82%

Real Sociedad W 2+ goals

50%

Real Sociedad W 3+ goals

24%

Draw no bet

Edf Logrono W (draw refunded)

42%

Real Sociedad W (draw refunded)

58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

51%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Edf Logrono W at home — creates 1.34, concedes 1.72 · 58 matches

Real Sociedad W away — creates 1.65, concedes 1.46 · 119 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Edf Logrono W attack 1.34 + Real Sociedad W defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.40

Real Sociedad W attack 1.65 + Edf Logrono W defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Edf Logrono W scores more

32%

level

24%

Real Sociedad W scores more

44%

Real Sociedad W at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Real Sociedad W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

L. Pardo← E. Ramirez

55'

F. Mawete← P. Partido

68'

A. Agirrezabala

73'

C. Marcos← A. Agirrezabala

75'

X. Velazco← M. Masferrer Cruz

78'

X. Velazco

82'

E. Guridi← P. Fernandez

84'

L. Valderas← Z. Matthews

90+12'

C. Florentino← A. Aparicio

90+12'

L. M. Rodriguez Herrero← N. Eizaguirre

90'

N. EizaguirrePenalty

Edf

Real

13

Arrula

21

▼

4

3

20

22

24

▼

Agirrezab

8

Jacinto

10

⚽

▼

Eizaguirr

19

▼

Aparicio

5

▼

13

11

2

5

4

10

14

8

▼

Cruz

19

▼

Partido

3

▼

Matthews

7

Asenjo

Manager: Héctor Blanco Calvo

55'▲F. Mawete←▼P. Partido

75'▲X. Velazco←▼M. Masferrer Cruz

84'▲L. Valderas←▼Z. Matthews

Edf Logrono W substitutes

1Ashurst23Rebeca6Martinez20Valderas22Morcillo21Rubio15Velazco17Mawete

Manager: Arturo Ruiz Álvarez

46'▲L. Pardo←▼E. Ramirez

73'▲C. Marcos←▼A. Agirrezabala

82'▲E. Guridi←▼P. Fernandez

90+12'▲C. Florentino←▼A. Aparicio

90+12'▲L. M. Rodriguez Herrero←▼N. Eizaguirre

Real Sociedad W substitutes

1Estensoro2Florentino12Herrero6Guridi14Eguiguren11Marcos7Pardo9Gabilondo

Primera División Femenina: Edf Logrono W 0–1 Real Sociedad W

Real Sociedad W beat Edf Logrono W 1-0 in Primera División Femenina on September 6, 2025.

Goals: N. Eizaguirre (90' pen).

The match was played at Estadio Las Gaunas in Logroño.

Edf Logrono W vs Real Sociedad W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Primera División Femenina: Edf Logrono W 0–1 Real Sociedad W