Real Sociedad II 0–2 Granada CF: Result & Stats

Real Sociedad II

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 2

Granada CF

M. Lama 5'

G. Petit 1'

3/22/2026

Segunda División · Round 31Zubieta Real Sociedad

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Real Sociedad II45%

×Draw26%

Granada CF29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Real Sociedad IIExpected goals in this matchGranada CF

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

1.14

Real Sociedad II

1.48

Granada CF

1.14

Real Sociedad II creates 30% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

1.34

creates per match

0.83

1.44

allows per match

1.62

creates per match

Real Sociedad II

1.34

Granada CF

0.83

allows per match

Real Sociedad II

1.44

Granada CF

1.62

-0.01on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Real Sociedad II-0.01on par

Granada CF+0.00on par

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Sociedad II ↓

Granada CF →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Real Sociedad II or draw

71%

Real Sociedad II or Granada CF

74%

Draw or Granada CF

55%

Winning margin

Real Sociedad II wins by 2+

22%

Granada CF wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Real Sociedad II 1+ goals

77%

Real Sociedad II 2+ goals

43%

Real Sociedad II 3+ goals

19%

Granada CF 1+ goals

68%

Granada CF 2+ goals

32%

Granada CF 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Real Sociedad II (draw refunded)

61%

Granada CF (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Sociedad II at home — creates 1.34, concedes 1.44 · 6 matches

Granada CF away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.62 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Sociedad II attack 1.34 + Granada CF defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.48

Granada CF attack 0.83 + Real Sociedad II defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Real Sociedad II scores more

45%

level

26%

Granada CF scores more

29%

Real Sociedad II at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Real Sociedad II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

5

M. Lama

Granada CF · D

8.2

Match Events

1'

G. Petit

5'

M. Lama↳ M. Trigueros

23'

35'

39'

43'

46'

L. Astiazaran← D. Diaz

46'

50'

54'

60'

65'

67'

67'

J. Eceizabarrena← I. Aguirre

69'

P. Aleman← D. Hormigo

74'

R. Alcaraz← I. Gonzalez

74'

S. Rodelas← A. Sola

77'

G. Gorosabel← M. Rodriguez

81'

Gonzalo Petit

81'

R. Zinebi← G. Petit

82'

J. Gorosabel← A. Dadie Izagirre

90+2'

Gorka Gorosabel

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

RealGranada

Overview

56%Possession44%

18Total Shots9

1.53Expected Goals (xG)0.75

7Corners5

15Fouls17

Shots

18Total Shots9

5On Target4

9Off Target4

4Blocked1

9Inside Box6

9Outside Box3

Passing

56%Possession44%

427Total Passes339

352Accurate Passes255

82%Pass Accuracy75%

Goalkeeping

2Saves5

Discipline

15Fouls17

5Yellow Cards5

3Offsides0