Real Sociedad II 3–0 FC Andorra: Result & Stats

Real Sociedad II

FT

3 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

FC Andorra

L. Astiazaran 69'

G. Carrera 49', 3'

10/11/2025

Segunda División · Round 9Zubieta Real Sociedad

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 42+ matches

Real Sociedad II37%

×Draw27%

FC Andorra35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Real Sociedad IIExpected goals in this matchFC Andorra

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.25

1.21

Real Sociedad II

1.25

FC Andorra

1.21

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 42 home / 63 away

1.14

creates per match

1.02

1.40

allows per match

1.35

creates per match

Real Sociedad II

1.14

FC Andorra

1.02

allows per match

Real Sociedad II

1.40

FC Andorra

1.35

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Real Sociedad II+0.00on par

FC Andorra+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Sociedad II ↓

FC Andorra →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–110%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

45%55%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Real Sociedad II or draw

65%

Real Sociedad II or FC Andorra

73%

Draw or FC Andorra

63%

Winning margin

Real Sociedad II wins by 2+

16%

FC Andorra wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Real Sociedad II 1+ goals

71%

Real Sociedad II 2+ goals

36%

Real Sociedad II 3+ goals

13%

FC Andorra 1+ goals

70%

FC Andorra 2+ goals

34%

FC Andorra 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Real Sociedad II (draw refunded)

51%

FC Andorra (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Sociedad II at home — creates 1.14, concedes 1.40 · 42 matches

FC Andorra away — creates 1.02, concedes 1.35 · 63 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Sociedad II attack 1.14 + FC Andorra defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.25

FC Andorra attack 1.02 + Real Sociedad II defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Real Sociedad II scores more

37%

level

27%

FC Andorra scores more

35%

Real Sociedad II at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Real Sociedad II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

18

G. Carrera

Real Sociedad II · F

9.0

Match Events

3'

G. Carrera

23'

Mikel Rodriguez

30'

Jastin García

31'

Gorka Carrera Zarranz

36'

Tomy Carbonell

44'

Théo Le Normand

49'

G. Carrera

54'

L. Astiazaran← D. Diaz

54'

A. Calvo← I. Garcia

58'

Gael Alonso

64'

M. Domenech← T. Le Normand

64'

A. Olabarrieta← D. Villahermosa

65'

A. Dadie Izagirre← J. Garro

66'

A. Lebarbier← M. Rodriguez

69'

L. Astiazaran↳ G. Gorosabel

74'

A. Uzkudun← S. Molina

74'

Lauti← M. Nieto

75'

A. Mariezkurrena← A. Marchal

75'

D. Ramirez← G. Carrera

81'

Jon Balda

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

RealFC

Overview

37%Possession63%

9Total Shots10

2Corners4

18Fouls13

Shots

9Total Shots10

5On Target3

4Off Target3

0Blocked4

6Inside Box6

3Outside Box4

Passing

37%Possession63%

319Total Passes539

262Accurate Passes472

82%Pass Accuracy88%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

18Fouls13

4Yellow Cards2

0Red Cards1

5Offsides1

Segunda División: Real Sociedad II 3–0 FC Andorra

Real Sociedad II beat FC Andorra 3-0 in Segunda División on October 11, 2025.

Goals: G. Carrera (3', 49'), L. Astiazaran (69').

FC Andorra controlled possession (63%) and registered 10 shots to 9.

The match was played at Zubieta Real Sociedad in San Sebastian.

Real Sociedad II vs FC Andorra — Segunda División 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Segunda División: Real Sociedad II 3–0 FC Andorra