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Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Real 59%Draw 19%22% Monaco
2.46Expected xG1.45

Over / Under 2.5

74%

Over

26%

Under

Both Score

70%

Yes

30%

No

Most Likely Scores

2-1

9%

3-1

7%

1-1

7%

xG Profile (7 home / 5 away matches)

Real Madrid

xG 2.5 · xGA 1.5

-0.21 vs xG

Monaco

xG 1.4 · xGA 2.41

+0 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Real Madrid vs Monaco — UEFA Champions League 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League·2026📍Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
FT
6 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
Monaco
Monaco
J. Bellingham 80'
Vinicius Junior 63'
T. Kehrer 55' (OG)
F. Mastantuono 51'
K. Mbappe 26', 5'
J. Teze 72'
Date
Jan 20, 2026, 8:00 PM
Tournament
UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 7
Referee
E. Eskas
Venue
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Real Madrid

Over / Under 2.5

64%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53964%
  • Under 2.52236%

Both teams scored

57%BTTS
  • Yes3557%
  • No2643%

Monaco

Over / Under 2.5

65%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53065%
  • Under 2.51635%

Both teams scored

65%BTTS
  • Yes3065%
  • No1635%

Match Events

5'
K. Mbappe↳ F. Valverde
26'
K. Mbappe↳ Vinicius Junior
33'
Denis Zakaria
44'
Jude Bellingham
46'
D. Ceballos← R. Asencio
51'
F. Mastantuono↳ Vinicius Junior
55'
T. KehrerOwn goal
61'
K. Ouattara← Vanderson
61'
M. Coulibaly← A. Fati
63'
Vinicius Junior↳ A. Guler
71'
G. Garcia← F. Mastantuono
72'
J. Teze
73'
G. Ilenikhena← F. Balogun
73'
A. Bamba← D. Zakaria
76'
D. Carvajal← A. Guler
76'
F. Garcia← E. Camavinga
80'
J. Bellingham↳ F. Valverde
83'
D. Mesonero← F. Valverde
84'
L. Michal← A. Golovin

Possession

49%Real

Shots

25Real

Pass accuracy

51%Real

Statistics

RealMonaco
Overview
49%Possession51%
25Total Shots20
3.86Expected Goals (xG)1.41
10Corners6
9Fouls11
Shots
25Total Shots20
5On Target6
10Off Target9
10Blocked5
20Inside Box13
5Outside Box7
Passing
49%Possession51%
482Total Passes509
433Accurate Passes441
90%Pass Accuracy87%
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
-2.34Goals Prevented-2.34
Discipline
9Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1

Real Madrid 6 – 1 Monaco

Real Madrid beat Monaco 6-1 in UEFA Champions League on January 20, 2026.

Goals: K. Mbappe (5', 26'), F. Mastantuono (51'), T. Kehrer (55' o.g.), Vinicius Junior (63'), J. Teze (72'), J. Bellingham (80').

Monaco controlled possession (51%) and registered 20 shots to 25.

The match was played at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid.