Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 4+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
71%
Over
29%
Under
Both Score
65%
Yes
35%
No
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9%
3-1
8%
2-0
8%
xG Profile (9 home / 4 away matches)
Real Madrid
xG 2.67 · xGA 1.22
+0 vs xG
Marseille
xG 1.25 · xGA 2.25
+0 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Real Madrid vs Marseille — UEFA Champions League 2026
- Date
- Sep 16, 2025, 7:00 PM
- Tournament
- UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Real Madrid
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53964%
- Under 2.52236%
Both teams scored
- Yes3557%
- No2643%
Marseille
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53370%
- Under 2.51430%
Both teams scored
- Yes2553%
- No2247%
Match Events

Head to Head
If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Real Madrid host Marseille on Tuesday, 16 September 2025 at 19:00. The match is part of the UEFA Champions League 2026/2027 season.
UEFA Champions League: Real Madrid 2–1 Marseille
Real Madrid beat Marseille 2-1 in UEFA Champions League on September 16, 2025.
Goals: T. Weah (22'), K. Mbappe (29' pen, 81' pen).
Marseille controlled possession (57%) and registered 15 shots to 28.
























