Scoreo

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Real 64%Draw 18%18% Marseille
2.46Expected xG1.23

Over / Under 2.5

71%

Over

29%

Under

Both Score

65%

Yes

35%

No

Most Likely Scores

2-1

9%

3-1

8%

2-0

8%

xG Profile (9 home / 4 away matches)

Real Madrid

xG 2.67 · xGA 1.22

+0 vs xG

Marseille

xG 1.25 · xGA 2.25

+0 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Real Madrid vs MarseilleUEFA Champions League 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League·2026
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
FT
21
HT: 11
Marseille
Marseille
K. Mbappe 81' (pen), 29' (pen)
T. Weah 22'
Date
Sep 16, 2025, 7:00 PM
Tournament
UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Real Madrid

Over / Under 2.5

64%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53964%
  • Under 2.52236%

Both teams scored

57%BTTS
  • Yes3557%
  • No2643%

Marseille

Over / Under 2.5

70%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53370%
  • Under 2.51430%

Both teams scored

53%BTTS
  • Yes2553%
  • No2247%

Possession

43%Real

Shots

28Real

Pass accuracy

50%Real

Statistics

RealMarseille
Overview
43%Possession57%
28Total Shots15
3.65Expected Goals (xG)0.73
9Corners4
9Fouls14
Shots
28Total Shots15
15On Target5
8Off Target8
5Blocked2
20Inside Box10
8Outside Box5
Passing
43%Possession57%
402Total Passes524
344Accurate Passes455
86%Pass Accuracy87%
Goalkeeping
4Saves13
1.62Goals Prevented1.62
Discipline
9Fouls14
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
1Offsides3

UEFA Champions League: Real Madrid 2–1 Marseille

Real Madrid beat Marseille 2-1 in UEFA Champions League on September 16, 2025.

Goals: T. Weah (22'), K. Mbappe (29' pen, 81' pen).

Marseille controlled possession (57%) and registered 15 shots to 28.