Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Real de Banjul vs Greater Tomorrow — GFA League 2020

Real de Banjul
Real de Banjul
FT
2 – 3
HT: 2 – 2
Greater Tomorrow
Greater Tomorrow
K. Sanyang 22'
M. Khan 10'
Unknown 54'
J. Camara 36'
B. Jobe 14'
6/22/2026GFA LeagueGFA League · Round 16

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 59+ matches

Real de Banjul48%
×Draw28%
Greater Tomorrow24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Real de Banjul
1.33
Greater Tomorrow
0.86

Real de Banjul creates 55% more chances

Season form · 88 home / 59 away

creates per match

Real de Banjul
1.64
Greater Tomorrow
0.93

allows per match

Real de Banjul
0.80
Greater Tomorrow
1.02

finishing

Real de Banjul+0.00on par
Greater Tomorrow+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real de Banjul ↓

Greater Tomorrow →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Real de Banjul or draw
76%
Real de Banjul or Greater Tomorrow
72%
Draw or Greater Tomorrow
52%

Winning margin

Real de Banjul wins by 2+
22%
Greater Tomorrow wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Real de Banjul 1+ goals
74%
Real de Banjul 2+ goals
38%
Real de Banjul 3+ goals
15%
Greater Tomorrow 1+ goals
58%
Greater Tomorrow 2+ goals
21%
Greater Tomorrow 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Real de Banjul (draw refunded)
66%
Greater Tomorrow (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real de Banjul at home — creates 1.64, concedes 0.80 · 88 matches

Greater Tomorrow away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.02 · 59 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real de Banjul attack 1.64 + Greater Tomorrow defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.33

Greater Tomorrow attack 0.93 + Real de Banjul defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Real de Banjul scores more
48%
level
28%
Greater Tomorrow scores more
24%

Real de Banjul at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Real de Banjul will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'
M. Khan
14'
B. Jobe
22'
K. Sanyang
36'
J. Camara
54'
75'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

GFA League: Real de Banjul 2–3 Greater Tomorrow

Greater Tomorrow beat Real de Banjul 3-2 in GFA League on June 22, 2026.

Goals: M. Khan (10'), B. Jobe (14'), K. Sanyang (22'), J. Camara (36'), ? (54').